ORN
Orion Group Holdings, Inc
HEAVY CONSTRUCTION OTHER THAN BLDG CONST - CONTRACTORS
Orion Group (ORN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$7.77
+0.18 (+2.37%)
▲
5d:
-0.89%
30d:
-15.08%
90d:
-19.73%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
0d
Protect ORN Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (92%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$7.93 – $9.18
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.2x
CHEAP
vs 24.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$14.65
+88.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$6.75 / $9.22
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ORN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.02
35.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORN is currently trading at $7.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.93 to $9.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.2) compared to its historical average (24.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 68.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.75, while resistance sits at $9.22.
Market Sentiment: ORN scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.65 (+88.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.75, while resistance sits at $9.22.
Market Sentiment: ORN scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.65 (+88.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.93 -
$9.18
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
92.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$7.93 -
$9.18
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.72
(9.3%)
Support Level
$6.75
Resistance Level
$9.22
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding ORN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 88.5% below Wall St target ($14.65)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.16
Wall Street Target
$14.65
(+88.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
68.9%
Profit Margin
0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.2 vs 24.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.16
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$6.59
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$6.07
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→25)
$7.76
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 54.8%)
$27.19
(+250%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.2, Growth: 54.8%)
$26.22
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 54.8%)
$22.29
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.53 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.38
Bull Case
$9.38
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$7.77
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$5.94
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.2 to 24.5
Stabilization Target:
$9.94
(+27.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.9%
Share ORN Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ORN)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Orion Group Holdings (ORN) reported Q3 2026 earnings with revenue growth in Marine and Concrete segments, increasing bid activity, and transitioning to alternative delivery methods. Financial guidance was reiterated.
Key Retail Themes:
Revenue growth and bid activity
Transition to alternative delivery methods
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ORN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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