OSCR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSCR - Oscar Health, Inc.
$30.38
-0.36 (-1.17%)
▼
5d:
-3.25%
30d:
-3.37%
90d:
+63.6%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OSCR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OSCR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSCR is currently trading at $30.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.21 to $31.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.4) compared to its historical average (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSCR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $27.65, while resistance sits at $31.94.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $25.20. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSCR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $27.65, while resistance sits at $31.94.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $25.20. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$29.21 -
$31.46
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 17.1% above Wall St target ($25.20)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 10.3% growth expectation is conservative given 126% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.21 -
$31.46
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.65
Resistance Level
$31.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.40
Wall Street Target
$25.20
(-17.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
52.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
125.6%
Profit Margin
-0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.3% premium
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 14.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.51
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$36.96
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$40.77
(+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.47
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 41.0%)
$91.04
(+200%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 41.0%)
$85.21
(+181%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 41.0%)
$63.68
(+110%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 7:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSCR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Mark T Bertolini
BUY
1000000 shares
2026-04-06
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Advanced OSCR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OSCR price and gamma walls.
