OTTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OTTR - Otter Tail Corp
$88.42
-0.98 (-1.10%)
▼
5d:
-4.25%
30d:
-1.38%
90d:
-0.92%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OTTR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OTTR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.04
Based on -2.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OTTR is currently trading at $88.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.07 to $92.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (15.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $88.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $88.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$89.07 -
$92.12
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($90.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.07 -
$92.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.25
Resistance Level
$94.30
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.62
Wall Street Target
$90.50
(+2.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 15.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.92
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$91.45
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$93.01
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$88.42
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -8.8%)
$83.58
(+-6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: -8.8%)
$67.01
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: -8.8%)
$56.96
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.56
Bull Case
$79.75
(-10%)
Analyst growth -18.9%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$72.50
(-18%)
Market implied -18.9%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$60.79
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OTTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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