OTTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OTTR - Otter Tail Corp
$89.06
0.10 (0.11%)
▲
5d:
-1.58%
30d:
-0.6%
90d:
-1.35%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OTTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OTTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$73.57
Based on -2.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OTTR is currently trading at $89.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.70 to $90.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $89.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $89.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$87.70 -
$90.20
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($90.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.70 -
$90.20
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.74
Resistance Level
$89.92
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.74
Wall Street Target
$90.50
(+1.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.02
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$93.02
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$95.07
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$89.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -8.8%)
$87.82
(+-1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: -8.8%)
$67.50
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: -8.8%)
$57.37
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.66
Bull Case
$78.17
(-12%)
Analyst growth -20.1%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case
$71.06
(-20%)
Market implied -20.1%, PE stable at 13.4
Bear Case
$60.49
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OTTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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