OTTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OTTR - Otter Tail Corp
$90.86
-1.18 (-1.28%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.16%
30d:
-1.46%
90d:
+4.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OTTR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OTTR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.90
Based on -4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OTTR is currently trading at $90.86, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.65 to $93.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.1) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $90.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $90.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$90.65 -
$93.35
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($90.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.65 -
$93.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$90.61
Resistance Level
$95.09
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.06
Wall Street Target
$90.50
(-0.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$93.04
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$95.27
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$97.56
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â16)
PE COMPRESSION
$90.94
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -12.3%)
$77.94
(+-14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: -12.3%)
$66.24
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: -12.3%)
$56.30
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.61
Bull Case
$116.98
(+29%)
Analyst growth 15.5%, PE expands to 22.0
Base Case
$106.35
(+17%)
Market implied 15.5%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$62.59
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OTTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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