Otter Tail (OTTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OTTR - Otter Tail Corp
$88.46
0.42 (0.48%)
▲
5d:
+0.23%
30d:
-1.26%
90d:
-3.21%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OTTR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: OTTR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.33
Based on -4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OTTR is currently trading at $88.46, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.03 to $90.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$88.03 -
$90.69
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($90.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$88.03 -
$90.69
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.91
Resistance Level
$90.55
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.61
Wall Street Target
$90.50
(+2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.61
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$90.77
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$91.95
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$88.59
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -12.3%)
$79.22
(+-10%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: -12.3%)
$64.49
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: -12.3%)
$54.81
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.57
Bull Case
$112.88
(+28%)
Analyst growth 16.6%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case
$102.62
(+16%)
Market implied 16.6%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$59.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 8:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OTTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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