Otter Tail (OTTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$77.82
-1.95 (-2.44%)
▼
5d:
-7.16%
30d:
-12.6%
90d:
-16.21%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (77%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$83.09 – $91.43
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.2x
FAIR
vs 16.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$88.00
+13.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$77.52 / $92.47
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OTTR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.60
Based on -4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OTTR is currently trading at $77.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.09 to $91.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.00 (+13.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.00 (+13.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$83.09 -
$91.43
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$83.09 -
$91.43
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$77.52
Resistance Level
$92.47
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($88.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.20
Wall Street Target
$88.00
(+13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.2%
Profit Margin
13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 16.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.42
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$75.04
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$73.69
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$78.06
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -13.7%)
$74.13
(+-5%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: -13.7%)
$56.73
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: -13.7%)
$48.22
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.18
Bull Case
$107.48
(+38%)
Analyst growth 22.5%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$97.71
(+26%)
Market implied 22.5%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$54.24
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 16.1
Stabilization Target:
$82.43
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (OTTR)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Investor $UserName is bullish on $OTTR ahead of earnings report, citing a strong earnings beat track record. No recent news articles are available.
Key Retail Themes:
Strong earnings beat track record
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OTTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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