Otter Tail (OTTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OTTR - Otter Tail Corp
$90.47
0.69 (0.77%)
▲
5d:
+0.9%
30d:
+1.48%
90d:
-2.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OTTR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: OTTR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.33
Based on -4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OTTR is currently trading at $90.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.02 to $89.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $90.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $90.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$88.02 -
$89.63
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($90.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$88.02 -
$89.63
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.81
Resistance Level
$90.95
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.85
Wall Street Target
$90.50
(+0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.31
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$92.86
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$94.44
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$89.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -12.3%)
$77.12
(+-14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: -12.3%)
$65.45
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: -12.3%)
$55.63
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.63
Bull Case
$113.72
(+27%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$103.38
(+15%)
Market implied 15.0%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$61.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OTTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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