Oxford Lane Capital (OXLC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OXLC - Oxford Lane Capital Corp.
$7.16
-0.13 (-1.78%)
▼
5d:
-12.9%
30d:
-20.36%
90d:
-17.13%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When OXLC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OXLC is down 12.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OXLC is down 12.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.76
59.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OXLC is currently trading at $7.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.08 to $9.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.6) compared to its historical average (3.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXLC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OXLC scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+74.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXLC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OXLC scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+74.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.08 -
$9.23
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 74.6% below Wall St target ($12.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.08 -
$9.23
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.10
Resistance Level
$8.70
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.61
Wall Street Target
$12.50
(+74.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.9%
Profit Margin
-126.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.6 vs 3.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.44
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$5.80
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.22
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$10.71
(+50%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 36.5%)
$224.78
(+3039%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.6, Growth: 36.5%)
$18.21
(+154%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.4, Growth: 36.5%)
$15.48
(+116%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.6 to 3.3
Stabilization Target:
$14.68
(+105.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+105.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is OXLC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$149 | 71 BUY |
|
ARES
Ares Management LP |
BUY
20 analysts |
$145 | 70 BUY |
|
TPG
TPG Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$58 | 63 BUY |
|
ARCC
Ares Capital Corporation |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$21 | 65 BUY |
|
STT
State Street Corp |
BUY
17 analysts |
$193 | 68 BUY |
