OZK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OZK - Bank OZK
$50.62
0.78 (1.57%)
▲
5d:
-1.0%
30d:
+5.09%
90d:
+14.6%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 16, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OZK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OZK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.52
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OZK is currently trading at $50.62, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.26 to $50.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OZK is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $51.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OZK is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $51.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$47.26 -
$50.27
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($52.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with 1.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.26 -
$50.27
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.50
Resistance Level
$51.55
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.89
Wall Street Target
$52.33
(+3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Profit Margin
45.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 7.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.58
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$52.56
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$53.56
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$50.91
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.1%)
$176.60
(+249%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 8.1%)
$63.97
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 8.1%)
$54.38
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.15
Bull Case
$57.19
(+13%)
Analyst growth 4.3%, PE expands to 8.9
Base Case
$52.00
(+3%)
Market implied 4.3%, PE stable at 8.1
Bear Case
$33.89
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 8:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OZK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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