PAAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAAS - Pan American Silver Corp.
$46.22
-2.69 (-5.50%)
▼
5d:
-9.32%
30d:
-15.66%
90d:
-5.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PAAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PAAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.06
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.89
24.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAAS is currently trading at $46.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.94 to $55.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 131.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.25, while resistance sits at $57.06. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: PAAS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.75 (+44.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.25, while resistance sits at $57.06. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: PAAS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.75 (+44.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$47.94 -
$55.33
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PAAS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 44.7% below Wall St target ($70.75)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.94 -
$55.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.25
Resistance Level
$57.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.63
Wall Street Target
$70.75
(+44.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
49.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
131.6%
Profit Margin
31.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 12.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.56
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$40.59
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$36.98
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$48.75
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.6%)
$162.02
(+231%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 13.6%)
$71.66
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 13.6%)
$60.91
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.17
Bull Case
$86.32
(+77%)
Analyst growth 60.2%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case
$78.48
(+61%)
Market implied 60.2%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$33.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$64.48
(+31.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAAS price and gamma walls.
