Pan American Silver (PAAS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$39.34
-0.55 (-1.38%)
▼
5d:
-5.18%
30d:
-11.66%
90d:
-16.83%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
Protect PAAS Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$39.95 – $44.77
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.3x
CHEAP
vs 11.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$59.17
+50.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$37.33 / $43.11
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: PAAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $41.16 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.37
33.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAAS is currently trading at $39.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.95 to $44.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 95.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $37.33, while resistance sits at $43.11.
Market Sentiment: PAAS scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.17 (+50.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $37.33, while resistance sits at $43.11.
Market Sentiment: PAAS scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.17 (+50.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$39.95 -
$44.77
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$39.95 -
$44.77
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$37.33
Resistance Level
$43.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding PAAS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.4% below Wall St target ($59.17)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.2%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.29
Wall Street Target
$59.17
(+50.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
95.5%
Profit Margin
35.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 11.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.51
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$33.88
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$31.44
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$39.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 30.9%)
$188.50
(+379%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 30.9%)
$88.21
(+124%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 30.9%)
$74.98
(+91%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.80
Bull Case
$51.90
(+30%)
Analyst growth 11.4%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$47.18
(+18%)
Market implied 11.4%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$28.80
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$49.10
(+24.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PAAS)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Pan American Silver (PAAS) is a low-beta silver miner, making it a stable investment choice during market volatility. The company is turning metal prices into shareholder cash.
Key Retail Themes:
market volatility
low-beta investment
silver miner
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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