Pan American Silver (PAAS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAAS - Pan American Silver Corp.
$45.49
0.51 (1.13%)
▲
5d:
-5.31%
30d:
-11.74%
90d:
+1.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
Get Alerted When PAAS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PAAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PAAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.15
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.91
31.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAAS is currently trading at $45.49, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.35 to $52.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 38.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.78 (+44.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.78 (+44.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$47.35 -
$52.68
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PAAS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.0% below Wall St target ($64.78)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.35 -
$52.68
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.72
Resistance Level
$51.24
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.82
Wall Street Target
$64.78
(+44.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.5%
Profit Margin
32.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 11.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.19
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$39.58
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$37.12
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$44.99
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 26.6%)
$189.82
(+322%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 26.6%)
$91.37
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 26.6%)
$77.67
(+73%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.34
Bull Case
$68.66
(+53%)
Analyst growth 37.1%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$62.41
(+39%)
Market implied 37.1%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$30.95
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$54.51
(+21.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PAAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Gold Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Gold by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KGC
Kinross Gold Corporation |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$34 | 67 BUY |
|
NEM
Newmont Goldcorp Corp |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$137 | 53 HOLD |
|
AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limit… |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$216 | 51 HOLD |
|
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals … |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$178 | 59 HOLD |
|
B
Barrick Mining Corporati… |
BUY
22 analysts |
$52 | 51 HOLD |
Advanced PAAS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAAS price and gamma walls.
