Pan American Silver (PAAS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAAS - Pan American Silver Corp.
$50.34
-0.31 (-0.61%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.3%
30d:
-3.89%
90d:
+8.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $51.34 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PAAS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PAAS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.32
26.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAAS is currently trading at $50.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.89 to $53.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 38.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $49.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PAAS scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.90 (+30.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $49.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PAAS scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.90 (+30.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$47.89 -
$53.30
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PAAS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.9% below Wall St target ($65.90)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.89 -
$53.30
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.72
Resistance Level
$56.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.69
Wall Street Target
$65.90
(+30.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.5%
Profit Margin
32.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 12.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.43
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$46.59
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$44.82
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â12)
$50.30
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 27.6%)
$197.36
(+292%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 27.6%)
$104.61
(+108%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 27.6%)
$88.92
(+77%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.24
Bull Case
$80.97
(+61%)
Analyst growth 45.3%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$73.61
(+46%)
Market implied 45.3%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$34.44
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 12.0
Stabilization Target:
$56.50
(+12.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced PAAS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAAS price and gamma walls.
