PAAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAAS - Pan American Silver Corp.
$53.07
1.15 (2.21%)
▲
5d:
+11.91%
30d:
+20.1%
90d:
-3.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 21, 2026 at $52.95 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAAS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAAS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.89
23.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAAS is currently trading at $53.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.70 to $49.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 38.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $53.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAAS scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.90 (+24.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $53.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAAS scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.90 (+24.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$42.70 -
$49.80
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PAAS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.6% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.2% below Wall St target ($65.90)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.70 -
$49.80
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.33
Resistance Level
$53.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.27
Wall Street Target
$65.90
(+24.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.5%
Profit Margin
32.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.85
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$50.66
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$49.49
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$53.13
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 27.6%)
$196.38
(+270%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 27.6%)
$110.28
(+108%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 27.6%)
$93.74
(+77%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.49
Bull Case
$77.05
(+45%)
Analyst growth 34.9%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$70.05
(+32%)
Market implied 34.9%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$35.31
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 12.1
Stabilization Target:
$56.97
(+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 11:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced PAAS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAAS price and gamma walls.
