Pan American Silver (PAAS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAAS - Pan American Silver Corp.
$41.11
-2.55 (-5.83%)
▼
5d:
-6.09%
30d:
-14.56%
90d:
-6.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 12, 2026 at $45.79 · last confirmed Oct 16, 2026
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PAAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PAAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.19
32.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAAS is currently trading at $41.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.81 to $48.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 38.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: PAAS scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.17 (+37.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: PAAS scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.17 (+37.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$43.81 -
$48.36
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PAAS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 37.8% below Wall St target ($60.17)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.81 -
$48.36
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.95
Resistance Level
$46.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.18
Wall Street Target
$60.17
(+37.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.5%
Profit Margin
32.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 11.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.60
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$39.64
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$37.78
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$43.80
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.8%)
$177.67
(+307%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 27.8%)
$91.05
(+109%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 27.8%)
$77.39
(+77%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.38
Bull Case
$61.82
(+42%)
Analyst growth 26.9%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$56.20
(+29%)
Market implied 26.9%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$30.12
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$50.61
(+15.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 3:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced PAAS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAAS price and gamma walls.
