Prosperity Bancshares (PB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PB - Prosperity Bancshares Inc
$69.50
-0.35 (-0.50%)
âŧ
5d:
+2.52%
30d:
+3.27%
90d:
-4.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.70
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.84
3.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PB is currently trading at $69.50, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.43 to $69.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $70.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PB scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.50 (+14.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $70.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PB scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.50 (+14.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$66.43 -
$69.54
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($79.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.43 -
$69.54
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.50
Resistance Level
$70.11
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.43
Wall Street Target
$79.50
(+14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.7%
Profit Margin
40.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.25
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$67.02
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$65.81
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â10)
$69.82
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.0%)
$222.63
(+220%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 15.0%)
$105.67
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 15.0%)
$89.82
(+29%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.78
Bull Case
$98.01
(+41%)
Analyst growth 27.6%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$89.10
(+28%)
Market implied 27.6%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$47.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$73.73
(+6.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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