Prosperity Bancshares (PB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$72.62
-0.40 (-0.55%)
▼
5d:
+0.9%
30d:
+8.81%
90d:
-3.24%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (49%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$67.03 – $72.41
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.7x
FAIR
vs 10.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$80.73
+11.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$71.19 / $75.49
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.18
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.00
1.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PB is currently trading at $72.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.03 to $72.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.73 (+11.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.73 (+11.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$67.03 -
$72.41
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$67.03 -
$72.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$71.19
Resistance Level
$75.49
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($80.73)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.73
Wall Street Target
$80.73
(+11.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
57.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.4%
Profit Margin
36.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.11
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$71.61
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$71.11
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$73.05
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.8%)
$229.99
(+217%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 15.8%)
$112.72
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 15.8%)
$95.81
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.48
Bull Case
$109.35
(+51%)
Analyst growth 36.1%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case
$99.41
(+37%)
Market implied 36.1%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$49.65
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$74.61
(+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PB)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 16, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages express bullish sentiment towards $PB, highlighting the bank's efficient operations with a low efficiency ratio.
Key Retail Themes:
Efficient Operations
Financial Management
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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