Prosperity Bancshares (PB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PB - Prosperity Bancshares Inc
$67.38
0.58 (0.87%)
▲
5d:
-0.58%
30d:
-6.53%
90d:
-5.21%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.60
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.16
5.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PB is currently trading at $67.38, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.56 to $72.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PB is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $65.14, while resistance sits at $70.59.
Market Sentiment: PB scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.92 (+20.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PB is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $65.14, while resistance sits at $70.59.
Market Sentiment: PB scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.92 (+20.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$68.56 -
$72.53
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.1% below Wall St target ($80.92)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 21% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.56 -
$72.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.14
Resistance Level
$70.59
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.17
Wall Street Target
$80.92
(+20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.7%
Profit Margin
40.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.36
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$63.40
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$61.50
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$67.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 14.7%)
$226.54
(+236%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 14.7%)
$101.78
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 14.7%)
$86.51
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.82
Bull Case
$92.82
(+38%)
Analyst growth 26.3%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$84.38
(+25%)
Market implied 26.3%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$45.42
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$73.52
(+9.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 4:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
600 shares
2026-04-22
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SELL
500 shares
2026-04-22
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