PD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PD - PagerDuty, Inc.
$8.49
0.25 (3.03%)
▲
5d:
-5.35%
30d:
+20.43%
90d:
+19.75%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.25
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PD is currently trading at $8.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.32 to $9.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.1) compared to its historical average (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.10, while resistance sits at $10.70. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.10, while resistance sits at $10.70. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$7.32 -
$9.50
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.14)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.32 -
$9.50
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.10
Resistance Level
$10.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.11
Wall Street Target
$9.14
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Profit Margin
38.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 8.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.15
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$7.82
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$7.51
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$8.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.2%)
$31.18
(+267%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 6.2%)
$10.18
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 6.2%)
$8.65
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.07
Bull Case
$5.38
(-35%)
Analyst growth -42.3%, PE expands to 4.5
Base Case
$4.89
(-41%)
Market implied -42.3%, PE stable at 4.1
Bear Case
$5.77
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$9.56
(+12.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dan Alexandru Solomon
SELL
266667 shares
2025-12-30
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