PD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PD - PagerDuty, Inc.
$10.84
0.51 (4.94%)
▲
5d:
+8.94%
30d:
+23.18%
90d:
+89.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: PD is 8.2% above its trading range ($10.02). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: PD is 8.2% above its trading range ($10.02). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.25
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PD is currently trading at $10.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.61 to $10.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (8.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: PD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $9.43. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: PD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $9.43. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.61 -
$10.02
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
Protect Your Profits
PD is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
- BEARISH: Trading 13.0% above Wall St target ($9.43)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.61 -
$10.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.10
Resistance Level
$10.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.08
Wall Street Target
$9.43
(-13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Profit Margin
38.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.30
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$11.77
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$12.26
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.2%)
$31.18
(+188%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 6.2%)
$12.99
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 6.2%)
$11.04
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.07
Bull Case
$6.57
(-39%)
Analyst growth -42.3%, PE expands to 5.5
Base Case
$5.97
(-45%)
Market implied -42.3%, PE stable at 5.0
Bear Case
$7.04
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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