PagerDuty (PD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$15.68
+0.11 (+0.71%)
▲
5d:
-7.76%
30d:
-6.0%
90d:
+29.69%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
11d
Protect PD Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (60%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$15.80 – $17.32
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.1x
STRETCHED
vs 9.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$12.86
-18.0% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$15.13 / $17.70
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: PD trades at premium valuation expecting 12.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.24
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PD is currently trading at $15.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.80 to $17.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.13, while resistance sits at $17.70.
Market Sentiment: PD scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.86. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.13, while resistance sits at $17.70.
Market Sentiment: PD scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.86. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.80 -
$17.32
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$15.80 -
$17.32
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.30
(8.3%)
Support Level
$15.13
Resistance Level
$17.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding PD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 18.0% above Wall St target ($12.86)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 12.2% growth with 0.8% revenue growth
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.8%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.13
Wall Street Target
$12.86
(-18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.0%
Profit Margin
37.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.2% premium
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 9.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.59
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$19.74
(+26%)
3-Year Target
$22.15
(+41%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.69
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.2%)
$28.43
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 6.2%)
$18.79
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 6.2%)
$13.31
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.02
Bull Case
$10.13
(-35%)
Analyst growth -40.9%, PE expands to 8.5
Base Case
$9.21
(-41%)
Market implied -40.9%, PE stable at 7.7
Bear Case
$10.59
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PD)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message expresses optimism about $PD's new CEO leading for three more weeks, with recent staff reductions and focus on AI, security, finance, and GTM.
Key Retail Themes:
CEO transition
Company focus
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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