PD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PD - PagerDuty, Inc.
$12.32
0.20 (1.65%)
▲
5d:
+3.53%
30d:
+42.76%
90d:
+74.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.56
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PD is currently trading at $12.32, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.91 to $11.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PD scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $9.86. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PD scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $9.86. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.91 -
$11.91
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
18.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 18.7% above Wall St target ($9.86)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.6% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.91 -
$11.91
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.21
Resistance Level
$12.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.15
Wall Street Target
$9.86
(-18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Profit Margin
38.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 8.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.04
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$14.03
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$15.10
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.20
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 6.2%)
$28.73
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 6.2%)
$14.53
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 6.2%)
$11.74
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.12
Bull Case
$7.54
(-39%)
Analyst growth -43.7%, PE expands to 6.3
Base Case
$6.86
(-44%)
Market implied -43.7%, PE stable at 5.7
Bear Case
$8.28
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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