PD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PD - PagerDuty, Inc.
$10.58
0.21 (2.03%)
▲
5d:
+16.52%
30d:
+5.48%
90d:
+59.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PD is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: PD is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.40
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PD is currently trading at $10.58, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.03 to $10.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $9.43. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $9.43. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$9.03 -
$10.62
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.9% above Wall St target ($9.43)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.03 -
$10.62
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.55
Resistance Level
$10.86
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.86
Wall Street Target
$9.43
(-10.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Profit Margin
38.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.91
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$11.25
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$11.59
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.60
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.2%)
$29.68
(+181%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 6.2%)
$12.68
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 6.2%)
$10.78
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.00
Bull Case
$6.81
(-36%)
Analyst growth -40.3%, PE expands to 5.7
Base Case
$6.19
(-42%)
Market implied -40.3%, PE stable at 5.2
Bear Case
$7.05
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PD price and gamma walls.
