PGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PGC - Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corp

COMMERCIAL BANKS, NEC
$45.92
-0.39 (-0.84%) ▼
5d: -2.36%
30d: -0.41%
90d: +19.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026 12d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PGC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.77
5.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PGC is currently trading at $45.92, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.88 to $47.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (8.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PGC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.94 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $44.88 - $47.24
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.0%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($52.94)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $44.88 - $47.24
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $41.95
Resistance Level $45.99
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.53
Wall Street Target $52.94 (+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 25.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 86.0%
Profit Margin 16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.6% premium
PE vs Historical 9.5 vs 8.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $48.44 (+5%)
2-Year Target $50.67 (+9%)
3-Year Target $53.00 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→8) PE COMPRESSION $46.16 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 30.1%) $232.88 (+403%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 30.1%) $101.89 (+120%)
Bear: (PE: 8.1, Growth: 30.1%) $86.60 (+87%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.47
Bull Case $100.04 (+116%)
Analyst growth 96.8%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case $90.94 (+96%)
Market implied 96.8%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case $31.43 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 14, 2026 4:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maureen Hemhauser SELL 5272 shares 2026-02-09

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