PII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PII - Polaris Inc.
$66.93
-0.47 (-0.70%)
▼
5d:
+4.04%
30d:
+0.63%
90d:
+21.27%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.13
28.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PII is currently trading at $66.93, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.66 to $70.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.5) compared to its historical average (25.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $65.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $65.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$65.66 -
$70.77
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($68.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.66 -
$70.77
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.56
Resistance Level
$71.35
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.49
Wall Street Target
$68.00
(+1.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.6%
Profit Margin
-6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.5 vs 25.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.52
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$60.28
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$57.20
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→25)
$66.80
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 71.0%)
$228.89
(+242%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.5, Growth: 71.0%)
$225.89
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.3, Growth: 71.0%)
$192.01
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.5 to 25.1
Stabilization Target:
$78.16
(+16.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Benjamin D Duke
SELL
10090 shares
2026-02-11
Michael T Speetzen
SELL
35086 shares
2026-02-11
James P Williams
SELL
5243 shares
2026-02-03
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