Polaris (PII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PII - Polaris Inc.
$58.51
0.57 (0.98%)
▲
5d:
-4.22%
30d:
-14.61%
90d:
-15.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.20
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.05
15.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PII is currently trading at $58.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.21 to $69.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.2) compared to its historical average (24.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $57.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PII scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.33 (+23.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $57.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PII scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.33 (+23.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$61.21 -
$69.74
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.6% below Wall St target ($72.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.21 -
$69.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.87
Resistance Level
$64.68
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.22
Wall Street Target
$72.33
(+23.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.6%
Profit Margin
-3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 24.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.66
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$47.39
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$42.65
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→24)
$60.18
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.3%)
$87.01
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 8.3%)
$74.30
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 8.3%)
$63.15
(+8%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 24.3
Stabilization Target:
$82.55
(+41.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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