Polaris (PII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PII - Polaris Inc.
$53.71
1.34 (2.56%)
▲
5d:
+1.28%
30d:
-12.98%
90d:
-16.51%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.83
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.95
19.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PII is currently trading at $53.71, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.34 to $62.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.8) compared to its historical average (23.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $51.33, while resistance sits at $56.41.
Market Sentiment: PII scores 93/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.93 (+33.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $51.33, while resistance sits at $56.41.
Market Sentiment: PII scores 93/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.93 (+33.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$53.34 -
$62.01
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (93/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.9% below Wall St target ($71.93)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 26% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.34 -
$62.01
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.33
Resistance Level
$56.41
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.80
Wall Street Target
$71.93
(+33.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.6%
Profit Margin
-3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 23.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.34
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$43.51
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$39.15
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→24)
$58.49
(+9%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.2%)
$87.94
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 8.2%)
$68.10
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 8.2%)
$57.88
(+8%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 23.6
Stabilization Target:
$80.24
(+49.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+49.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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