Polaris (PII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PII - Polaris Inc.
$56.69
2.40 (4.42%)
▲
5d:
+5.98%
30d:
+7.08%
90d:
-22.38%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.58
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.07
10.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PII is currently trading at $56.69, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.56 to $55.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.8) compared to its historical average (23.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: PII scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.27 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: PII scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.27 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$51.56 -
$55.34
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
33.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.2% below Wall St target ($69.27)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.56 -
$55.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.26
Resistance Level
$57.04
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.84
Wall Street Target
$69.27
(+22.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.6%
Profit Margin
-3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 23.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.02
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$45.92
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$41.33
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→23)
$56.67
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.0%)
$81.97
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 7.0%)
$69.52
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 7.0%)
$59.09
(+4%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 23.1
Stabilization Target:
$77.74
(+37.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 5:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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