PII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PII - Polaris Inc.
$71.21
4.13 (6.15%)
▲
5d:
-4.68%
30d:
+12.81%
90d:
+7.2%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PII trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PII trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.32
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.54
12.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PII is currently trading at $71.20, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.16 to $73.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.5) compared to its historical average (25.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.72, while resistance sits at $77.98. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.72, while resistance sits at $77.98. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$66.16 -
$73.12
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($71.80)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.16 -
$73.12
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.72
Resistance Level
$77.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.49
Wall Street Target
$71.80
(+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.6%
Profit Margin
-3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 25.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.79
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$58.77
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$55.01
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→25)
$67.11
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 16.0%)
$105.81
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.5, Growth: 16.0%)
$104.59
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.4, Growth: 16.0%)
$88.90
(+33%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.5 to 25.0
Stabilization Target:
$81.84
(+22.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Benjamin D Duke
SELL
10090 shares
2026-02-11
Michael T Speetzen
SELL
35086 shares
2026-02-11
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