PII Polaris Inc. MISCELLANEOUS TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT

Polaris (PII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$66.34
-0.28 (-0.42%) ▼
5d: -2.01% 30d: +28.62% 90d: -3.35%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (19%)
Quality Score
22/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$51.78 – $62.88
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
21.2x FAIR
vs 22.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$64.93
-2.1% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$58.55 / $68.63
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.01
Based on -4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.40
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PII is currently trading at $66.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.78 to $62.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.2) is in line with its historical norms (22.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $58.55, while resistance sits at $68.63.

Market Sentiment: PII scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $51.78 - $62.88
Company Quality Score 22/100 (STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 19.0%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $51.78 - $62.88
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $58.55
Resistance Level $68.63
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.5% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($64.93)
  • WARNING: Composite score 22/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.19
Wall Street Target $64.93 (-2.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -89.6%
Profit Margin -2.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 21.2 vs 22.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $64.68 (-3%)
2-Year Target $63.06 (-5%)
3-Year Target $61.49 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→23) $66.45 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.2, Growth: -12.6%) $48.36 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -12.6%) $45.33 (-32%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: -12.6%) $38.53 (-42%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.2 to 22.9
Stabilization Target: $71.69 (+8.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.1%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PII)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 8, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Polaris Inc (PII) reported stronger-than-expected Q2 earnings and revenue, with sales in Powersports, Marine, and Corporate segments exceeding estimates. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).
Key Retail Themes: earnings beat strong sales across segments positive analyst coverage
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:20 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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