Thor Industries (THO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THO - Thor Industries, Inc.
$72.86
0.85 (1.18%)
▲
5d:
-3.85%
30d:
-7.74%
90d:
-5.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 23, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: THO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: THO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$149.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.87
21.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THO is currently trading at $72.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.94 to $79.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $70.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: THO scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.00 (+23.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $70.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: THO scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.00 (+23.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$74.94 -
$79.91
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
43th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding THO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 43th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.5% below Wall St target ($90.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.94 -
$79.91
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.76
(6.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.90
Resistance Level
$77.80
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.13
Wall Street Target
$90.00
(+23.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.5%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.55
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$70.26
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$69.00
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$72.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 28.8%)
$194.88
(+168%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 28.8%)
$155.81
(+114%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 28.8%)
$132.44
(+82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.94
Bull Case
$72.44
(-1%)
Analyst growth -8.5%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$65.86
(-10%)
Market implied -8.5%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$48.97
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 17.0
Stabilization Target:
$76.81
(+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced THO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's THO price and gamma walls.
