THO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THO - Thor Industries, Inc.
$73.10
0.56 (0.78%)
▲
5d:
-3.8%
30d:
-3.21%
90d:
-9.14%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: THO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: THO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$157.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.05
25.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THO is currently trading at $73.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.55 to $78.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (17.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $70.17, while resistance sits at $80.87.
Market Sentiment: THO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.00 (+28.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $70.17, while resistance sits at $80.87.
Market Sentiment: THO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.00 (+28.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$73.55 -
$78.39
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding THO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.2% below Wall St target ($93.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.55 -
$78.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.37
(7.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.17
Resistance Level
$80.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.38
Wall Street Target
$93.00
(+28.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.5%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 17.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.85
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$67.26
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$64.77
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$72.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.0%)
$246.87
(+240%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 34.0%)
$174.38
(+140%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 34.0%)
$148.22
(+104%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.94
Bull Case
$75.98
(+5%)
Analyst growth -4.6%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case
$69.08
(-5%)
Market implied -4.6%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$49.22
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 17.2
Stabilization Target:
$81.09
(+11.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Peter Busch Orthwein
BUY
2600 shares
2026-03-06
W. Todd Woelfer
SELL
4567 shares
2026-01-15
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Advanced THO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's THO price and gamma walls.
