THO Thor Industries, Inc. MOTOR HOMES

Thor Industries (THO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$77.98
-1.55 (-1.94%) ▼
5d: -7.89% 30d: +19.54% 90d: -1.15%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (35%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$65.45 – $77.90
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.9x FAIR
vs 16.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$83.20
+4.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
33th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$71.73 / $86.62
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: THO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$145.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.12
13.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: THO is currently trading at $77.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.45 to $77.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.9) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, THO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $71.73, while resistance sits at $86.62.

Market Sentiment: THO scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $65.45 - $77.90
Company Quality Score 36/100 (SELL)
Options IV Signal 33th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 35.4%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $65.45 - $77.90
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$4.96 (6.4%)
Support Level $71.73
Resistance Level $86.62
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 33th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($83.20)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.1% growth with -8.4% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.93
Wall Street Target $83.20 (+4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -66.5%
Profit Margin 1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.1% premium
PE vs Historical 17.9 vs 16.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $81.19 (+2%)
2-Year Target $82.89 (+4%)
3-Year Target $84.64 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→17) PE COMPRESSION $79.32 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 26.9%) $179.83 (+126%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 26.9%) $162.31 (+104%)
Bear: (PE: 15.2, Growth: 26.9%) $137.96 (+74%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.38
Bull Case $118.39 (+49%)
Analyst growth 31.2%, PE expands to 26.7
Base Case $107.62 (+35%)
Market implied 31.2%, PE stable at 24.3
Bear Case $55.76 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (THO)

Bearish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: One bullish trader on StockTwits expressed optimism about adding to their $THO position.
Key Retail Themes: buyer sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 1:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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