THO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THO - Thor Industries, Inc.
$79.49
0.75 (0.95%)
â˛
5d:
+0.62%
30d:
+6.0%
90d:
+5.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 23, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: THO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: THO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.16
15.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THO is currently trading at $79.49, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.10 to $79.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.4) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $81.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.50 (+13.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $81.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.50 (+13.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$76.10 -
$79.57
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding THO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($90.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with -3.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.10 -
$79.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$4.51
(5.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.41
Resistance Level
$81.67
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.35
Wall Street Target
$90.50
(+13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.5%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.97
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$80.45
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$80.93
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â17)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.28
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 30.6%)
$204.86
(+158%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 30.6%)
$177.14
(+123%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: 30.6%)
$150.57
(+89%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.94
Bull Case
$80.31
(+1%)
Analyst growth -7.3%, PE expands to 17.5
Base Case
$73.01
(-8%)
Market implied -7.3%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$53.54
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Peter Busch Orthwein
BUY
2600 shares
2026-03-06
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Advanced THO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's THO price and gamma walls.
