Thor Industries (THO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THO - Thor Industries, Inc.
$69.59
3.16 (4.75%)
▲
5d:
-0.56%
30d:
-3.77%
90d:
-9.23%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: THO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: THO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$145.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.12
22.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THO is currently trading at $69.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.27 to $71.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.0) compared to its historical average (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $62.83, while resistance sits at $72.12. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.20 (+25.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $62.83, while resistance sits at $72.12. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.20 (+25.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$66.27 -
$71.88
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding THO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.2% below Wall St target ($83.20)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.27 -
$71.88
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.83
Resistance Level
$72.13
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.97
Wall Street Target
$83.20
(+25.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.5%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 16.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.91
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$61.48
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$59.14
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$66.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 26.9%)
$179.83
(+171%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 26.9%)
$135.59
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 26.9%)
$115.25
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.38
Bull Case
$96.18
(+45%)
Analyst growth 31.2%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case
$87.44
(+32%)
Market implied 31.2%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case
$45.30
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$74.53
(+12.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 2:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced THO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's THO price and gamma walls.
