PINE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PINE - Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc
$20.18
-0.12 (-0.59%)
▼
5d:
-1.51%
30d:
-3.77%
90d:
+7.34%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PINE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.2% annual earnings decline despite 76% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PINE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.2% annual earnings decline despite 76% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.64
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PINE is currently trading at $20.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.23 to $21.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 36.2) compared to its historical average (48.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 75.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PINE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PINE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.23 -
$21.03
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.23 -
$21.03
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.89
(4.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.75
Resistance Level
$21.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.24
Wall Street Target
$21.73
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
75.7%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.2 vs 48.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.32
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$16.64
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$15.11
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→48)
$20.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.2, Growth: 5.7%)
$23.84
(+18%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 5.7%)
$13.64
(-32%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 5.7%)
$11.59
(-43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (97x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 96.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case
$44.66
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 106.3
Base Case
$40.60
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 96.7
Bear Case
$13.80
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 82.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.2 to 48.4
Stabilization Target:
$26.95
(+33.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PINE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew C Richardson
SELL
2750 shares
2026-03-31
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Advanced PINE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PINE price and gamma walls.
