Alpine Income Property Trust (PINE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PINE - Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$17.36
0.01 (0.06%) ▲
5d: +2.24%
30d: -11.16%
90d: -15.81%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026 19d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PINE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.23
Based on 13.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.01
13.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PINE is currently trading at $17.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.38 to $19.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.4) compared to its historical average (44.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 75.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PINE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: PINE scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.95 (+26.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $17.38 - $19.48
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 92.3%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.4% below Wall St target ($21.95)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 23% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $17.38 - $19.48
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.64 (3.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.62
Resistance Level $17.84
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.41
Wall Street Target $21.95 (+26.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 34.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 75.7%
Profit Margin 9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -17.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 25.4 vs 44.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -17.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $15.62 (-10%)
2-Year Target $14.06 (-19%)
3-Year Target $12.66 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→45) $22.27 (+28%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.4, Growth: 23.5%) $32.70 (+88%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 23.5%) $26.25 (+51%)
Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 23.5%) $22.32 (+29%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (83x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 82.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case $38.17 (+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 90.9
Base Case $34.70 (+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 82.6
Bear Case $11.80 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 70.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.4 to 44.7
Stabilization Target: $30.54 (+75.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +75.9%
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 5:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced PINE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PINE price and gamma walls.

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