PLAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PLAY - Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$8.14
-0.03 (-0.37%) ▼
5d: -6.11%
30d: -21.5%
90d: -38.24%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 14, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PLAY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.81
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.17
42.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PLAY is currently trading at $8.14, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.83 to $10.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.0) compared to its historical average (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PLAY is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+108.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $8.83 - $10.52
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 108.8% below Wall St target ($17.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.83 - $10.52
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.94
Resistance Level $9.57
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.03
Wall Street Target $17.00 (+108.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -74.2%
Profit Margin -3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -11.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.0 vs 13.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -11.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.33 (-10%)
2-Year Target $6.59 (-19%)
3-Year Target $5.93 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→13) $8.54 (+5%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 84.3%) $61.35 (+654%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 84.3%) $27.47 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 7.7, Growth: 84.3%) $23.35 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 13.0
Stabilization Target: $11.72 (+43.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +43.9%
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Last updated: September 13, 2026 11:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:26 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steve Klohn SELL 6989 shares 2026-04-17

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Advanced PLAY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PLAY price and gamma walls.

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