PLAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PLAY - Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$8.15
-0.63 (-7.23%) ▼
5d: +0.18%
30d: +24.16%
90d: -20.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Nov 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 08, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PLAY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.24
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.19
38.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PLAY is currently trading at $8.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.69 to $8.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.0) compared to its historical average (12.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PLAY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.80, while resistance sits at $9.16. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: PLAY scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+59.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $6.69 - $8.00
Company Quality Score 29/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 59.6% below Wall St target ($13.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $6.69 - $8.00
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.80
Resistance Level $9.16
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 5, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.04
Wall Street Target $13.00 (+59.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -74.2%
Profit Margin -4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.0 vs 12.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.38 (-9%)
2-Year Target $6.69 (-18%)
3-Year Target $6.06 (-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→12) $8.11 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 84.3%) $60.41 (+642%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 84.3%) $27.49 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 7.7, Growth: 84.3%) $23.37 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 12.1
Stabilization Target: $10.90 (+33.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +33.9%
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Last updated: November 06, 2026 6:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced PLAY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PLAY price and gamma walls.

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