PMTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PMTS - CPI Card Group Inc. Common Stock
$28.83
-0.12 (-0.41%)
âŧ
5d:
+2.82%
30d:
+40.09%
90d:
+69.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PMTS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 15.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PMTS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 15.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.41
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PMTS is currently trading at $28.83, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.41 to $29.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (5.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PMTS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PMTS scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.50 (+12.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PMTS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PMTS scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.50 (+12.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$21.41 -
$29.10
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($32.50)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 15.7% growth expectation is conservative given 325% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.41 -
$29.10
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.00
Resistance Level
$29.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.26
Wall Street Target
$32.50
(+12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
325.0%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+15.7% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 5.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+15.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.36
(+16%)
2-Year Target
$38.59
(+34%)
3-Year Target
$44.65
(+55%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â5)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.65
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 17.1%)
$112.51
(+290%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 17.1%)
$46.31
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 17.1%)
$29.71
(+3%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.17
Bull Case
$63.69
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.2
Base Case
$57.90
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.7
Bear Case
$19.69
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 29, 2026 10:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PMTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL
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