PMTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PMTS - CPI Card Group Inc. Common Stock
$27.72
3.27 (13.37%)
▲
5d:
+31.56%
30d:
+44.11%
90d:
+78.49%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: PMTS is 23.0% above its trading range ($22.54). Market expects 16.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: PMTS is 23.0% above its trading range ($22.54). Market expects 16.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.30
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PMTS is currently trading at $27.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.60 to $22.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.2) compared to its historical average (5.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 16.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PMTS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: PMTS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PMTS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: PMTS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.60 -
$22.54
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+23.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+13.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($27.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 16.6% growth with 19.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.60 -
$22.54
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.77
Resistance Level
$28.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.16
Wall Street Target
$27.50
(-0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.5%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+16.6% premium
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 5.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+16.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.32
(+17%)
2-Year Target
$37.69
(+36%)
3-Year Target
$43.94
(+59%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.45
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 24.4%)
$132.09
(+377%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 24.4%)
$53.31
(+92%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 24.4%)
$33.30
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.02
Bull Case
$53.79
(+94%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case
$48.90
(+76%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case
$16.63
(-40%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 09, 2026 6:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PMTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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