Pool (POOL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
POOL - Pool Corporation
$197.21
24.77 (14.36%)
▲
5d:
+16.61%
30d:
+18.37%
90d:
+7.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: POOL is 13.8% above its trading range ($173.27). Market expects -1.5% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: POOL is 13.8% above its trading range ($173.27). Market expects -1.5% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$266.94
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$165.75
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: POOL is currently trading at $197.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $157.73 to $173.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POOL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $197.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 14.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: POOL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POOL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $197.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 14.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: POOL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$157.73 -
$173.27
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
Protect Your Profits
POOL is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+13.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+14.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($198.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$157.73 -
$173.27
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$155.16
Resistance Level
$197.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.83
Wall Street Target
$198.25
(+0.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Profit Margin
7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$194.25
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$191.34
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$188.47
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$197.09
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.6%)
$282.00
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 6.6%)
$238.98
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 6.6%)
$203.13
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.94
Bull Case
$203.17
(+3%)
Analyst growth 7.1%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$184.70
(-6%)
Market implied 7.1%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$117.26
(-41%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$206.24
(+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 5:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is POOL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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