Permian Resources (PR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PR - Permian Resources Corporation
$22.12
0.19 (0.87%)
▲
5d:
+3.56%
30d:
-7.14%
90d:
+21.61%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.08
Based on 1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PR is currently trading at $22.12, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.83 to $23.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 232.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PR scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.14 (+22.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PR scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.14 (+22.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$21.83 -
$23.78
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.7% below Wall St target ($27.14)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 21% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.83 -
$23.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.84
Resistance Level
$22.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.89
Wall Street Target
$27.14
(+22.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
232.9%
Profit Margin
21.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 11.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.19
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$20.30
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$19.45
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$22.23
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -1.2%)
$43.98
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: -1.2%)
$21.32
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: -1.2%)
$18.12
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.55
Bull Case
$34.82
(+57%)
Analyst growth 44.3%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$31.65
(+43%)
Market implied 44.3%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$14.91
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 11.3
Stabilization Target:
$25.28
(+14.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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