Permian Resources (PR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PR - Permian Resources Corporation
$23.78
0.08 (0.34%)
â˛
5d:
+0.17%
30d:
+10.86%
90d:
+23.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.50
Based on 11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.01
12.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PR is currently trading at $23.78, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.17 to $23.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 232.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PR scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.35 (+10.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PR scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.35 (+10.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$21.17 -
$23.79
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($26.35)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.17 -
$23.79
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.67
Resistance Level
$24.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.66
Wall Street Target
$26.35
(+10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
232.9%
Profit Margin
21.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.28
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$22.79
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$22.31
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â11)
$23.87
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 18.9%)
$45.27
(+90%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 18.9%)
$23.91
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 18.9%)
$20.33
(-15%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.55
Bull Case
$37.54
(+58%)
Analyst growth 44.0%, PE expands to 16.8
Base Case
$34.12
(+44%)
Market implied 44.0%, PE stable at 15.3
Bear Case
$16.12
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$25.44
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 11:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William J Quinn
SELL
512429 shares
2026-03-18
Aron Marquez
SELL
7750 shares
2026-03-18
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