PR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PR - Permian Resources Corporation
$20.90
-0.41 (-1.92%)
▼
5d:
+3.21%
30d:
+14.84%
90d:
-5.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.02
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PR is currently trading at $20.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.68 to $20.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.63, while resistance sits at $21.95.
Market Sentiment: PR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.05 (+19.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.63, while resistance sits at $21.95.
Market Sentiment: PR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.05 (+19.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.68 -
$20.84
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.05)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.68 -
$20.84
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.63
Resistance Level
$21.95
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.05
Wall Street Target
$25.05
(+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.7%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 11.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.98
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$19.10
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$18.26
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$20.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.7%)
$52.28
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 6.7%)
$25.36
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 6.7%)
$21.55
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.89
Bull Case
$46.88
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.3
Base Case
$42.62
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.9
Bear Case
$14.49
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$23.91
(+14.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 2:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William J Quinn
SELL
512429 shares
2026-03-18
Aron Marquez
SELL
7750 shares
2026-03-18
Aron Marquez
SELL
5250 shares
2026-03-17
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