Permian Resources (PR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$22.77
+0.45 (+2.02%)
â˛
5d:
+6.7%
30d:
-5.36%
90d:
+5.91%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$22.28 â $25.14
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.1x
CHEAP
vs 11.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$28.86
+26.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$20.85 / $26.07
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -9.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.52
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.54
7.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PR is currently trading at $22.77, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.28 to $25.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.1) compared to its historical average (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 512.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.85, while resistance sits at $26.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.86 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.85, while resistance sits at $26.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.86 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$22.28 -
$25.14
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$22.28 -
$25.14
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$20.85
Resistance Level
$26.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($28.86)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.14
Wall Street Target
$28.86
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
48.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
512.5%
Profit Margin
25.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 11.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.54
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$18.53
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$16.71
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â11)
$22.78
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.9%)
$65.94
(+190%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 5.9%)
$27.03
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 5.9%)
$22.98
(+1%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.93
Bull Case
$35.45
(+59%)
Analyst growth 48.4%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$32.23
(+44%)
Market implied 48.4%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$14.77
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.1 to 11.1
Stabilization Target:
$31.04
(+36.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PR)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 8, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on StockTwits regarding $PR, driven by optimistic news about Saudi Arabia's financial market resilience in the face of missile attacks.
Key Retail Themes:
Saudi Arabia's financial market resilience
Positive investor sentiment towards $PR
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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