PR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PR - Permian Resources Corporation
$19.59
-0.03 (-0.15%)
▼
5d:
+2.62%
30d:
+1.71%
90d:
-4.72%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.49
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.18
2.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PR is currently trading at $19.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.46 to $19.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.86, while resistance sits at $20.54.
Market Sentiment: PR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.21 (+28.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.86, while resistance sits at $20.54.
Market Sentiment: PR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.21 (+28.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.46 -
$19.43
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.7% below Wall St target ($25.21)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.46 -
$19.43
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.87
Resistance Level
$20.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.40
Wall Street Target
$25.21
(+28.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.7%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 11.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.24
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$16.98
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$15.81
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$19.51
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.2%)
$57.56
(+194%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 8.2%)
$24.84
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 8.2%)
$21.11
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.89
Bull Case
$43.16
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case
$39.24
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case
$13.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$24.18
(+23.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 1:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:21 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is PR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William J Quinn
SELL
512429 shares
2026-03-18
Aron Marquez
SELL
7750 shares
2026-03-18
Aron Marquez
SELL
5250 shares
2026-03-17
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