Permian Resources (PR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PR - Permian Resources Corporation
$25.49
1.09 (4.47%)
▲
5d:
+3.66%
30d:
+16.66%
90d:
+25.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.05
Based on 2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PR is currently trading at $25.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.70 to $24.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 232.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: PR scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.59 (+17.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: PR scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.59 (+17.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$21.70 -
$24.30
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.59)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.70 -
$24.30
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.21
Resistance Level
$25.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.05
Wall Street Target
$28.59
(+17.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
232.9%
Profit Margin
21.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 11.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.55
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$22.72
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$21.93
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$24.43
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.4%)
$50.29
(+106%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 1.4%)
$25.46
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 1.4%)
$21.64
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.52
Bull Case
$43.63
(+79%)
Analyst growth 59.7%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$39.66
(+63%)
Market implied 59.7%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$16.89
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$27.18
(+11.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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