PRA Group (PRAA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PRAA - PRA Group, Inc.

SHORT-TERM BUSINESS CREDIT INSTITUTIONS
$20.55
0.73 (3.68%) ▲
5d: +3.74%
30d: -0.15%
90d: +27.24%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026 13d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PRAA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.83
Based on -9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.10
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PRAA is currently trading at $20.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.22 to $20.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (6.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PRAA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: PRAA scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+26.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $19.22 - $20.44
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 87.1%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.5% below Wall St target ($26.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.5% growth which is achievable
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $19.22 - $20.44
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $19.33
Resistance Level $20.66
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.90
Wall Street Target $26.00 (+26.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 29.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 40.1%
Profit Margin -19.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.5% premium
PE vs Historical 7.9 vs 6.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $21.89 (+7%)
2-Year Target $23.31 (+13%)
3-Year Target $24.82 (+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→7) PE COMPRESSION $20.41 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -23.5%) $37.64 (+83%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: -23.5%) $14.98 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 6.5, Growth: -23.5%) $12.32 (-40%)
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced PRAA Option Strategies

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