PRK Park National Corporation NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS Best National Banks Stocks 2026 →

Park National (PRK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$178.86
-0.96 (-0.53%) â–ŧ
5d: -2.11% 30d: +1.84% 90d: -13.85%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (70%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$176.78 – $181.77
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.6x FAIR
vs 14.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$199.50
+11.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$170.54 / $186.55
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: PRK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$358.24
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.44
19.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PRK is currently trading at $178.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $176.78 to $181.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PRK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $170.54, while resistance sits at $186.55.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $199.50 (+11.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $176.78 - $181.77
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.0%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $176.78 - $181.77
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $170.54
Resistance Level $186.55
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($199.50)
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.61
Wall Street Target $199.50 (+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 7.2%
Profit Margin 30.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.6 vs 14.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $177.25 (-1%)
2-Year Target $175.66 (-2%)
3-Year Target $174.07 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→14) $179.04 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 99.9%) $268.86 (+50%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 99.9%) $184.28 (+3%)
Bear: (PE: 11.6, Growth: 99.9%) $156.63 (-12%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.44
Bull Case $227.20 (+27%)
Analyst growth 14.9%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case $206.54 (+16%)
Market implied 14.9%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case $122.28 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 14.0
Stabilization Target: $183.96 (+2.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.9%
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:45 AM
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