Is PTC stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, PTC is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PTC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of PTC stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for PTC to be between $135.95 and $191.63. The current price is $194.38.

What is the analyst price target for PTC?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for PTC is $201.00. This implies a potential upside of 3.4% from current levels.

PTC (PTC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PTC - PTC, INC

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$194.38

1.03 (0.53%) ▲

5d: +0.38%

30d: +38.84%

90d: +71.94%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your PTC Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 12d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 6, 2026 at $193.29 · last confirmed Oct 16, 2026

Strength: 4.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PTC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 8.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$213.89

Based on 6.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$132.81

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PTC is currently trading at $194.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $135.95 to $191.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.8) compared to its historical average (17.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PTC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $192.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: PTC scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $135.95 - $191.63

Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 27.1%

Protect Your Profits

PTC is technically overbought (RSI 80). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($201.00)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.4% growth with -6.8% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $135.95 - $191.63

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $192.76

Resistance Level $194.87

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.80

Wall Street Target $201.00 (+3.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -12.0%

Profit Margin 41.4%

Valuation Premium vs History +7.4% premium

PE vs Historical 21.8 vs 17.6 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +7.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $208.76 (+7%)

2-Year Target $224.21 (+15%)

3-Year Target $240.80 (+24%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→18) PE COMPRESSION $194.44 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.8%) $250.05 (+29%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.8%) $227.83 (+17%)

Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 8.8%) $193.66 (0%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 18.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.31

Bull Case $183.96 (-5%)

Analyst growth -13.5%, PE expands to 20.6

Base Case $167.24 (-14%)

Market implied -13.5%, PE stable at 18.8

Bear Case $131.48 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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