QCR (QCRH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QCRH - QCR Holdings Inc
$100.95
1.69 (1.70%)
▲
5d:
+0.03%
30d:
-0.45%
90d:
+3.66%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: QCRH is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: QCRH is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$120.86
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QCRH is currently trading at $100.95, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.37 to $102.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCRH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $101.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QCRH scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCRH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $101.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QCRH scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$99.37 -
$102.00
Company Quality Score
70/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($110.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$99.37 -
$102.00
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$96.54
Resistance Level
$101.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.27
Wall Street Target
$110.50
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.1%
Profit Margin
37.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$102.67
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$104.41
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$106.19
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$100.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 5.5%)
$214.29
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 5.5%)
$118.39
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 5.5%)
$100.63
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.45
Bull Case
$115.73
(+15%)
Analyst growth 6.0%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case
$105.21
(+4%)
Market implied 6.0%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$67.50
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 9:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QCRH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Amy L Reasner
BUY
100 shares
2026-04-23
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