QCRH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QCRH - QCR Holdings Inc
$96.07
-0.74 (-0.76%)
▼
5d:
+0.18%
30d:
-0.32%
90d:
+5.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QCRH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QCRH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$117.52
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QCRH is currently trading at $96.07, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.89 to $97.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCRH is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $96.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCRH is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $96.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$94.89 -
$97.20
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($102.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$94.89 -
$97.20
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.32
Resistance Level
$96.35
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.06
Wall Street Target
$102.00
(+6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.9%
Profit Margin
36.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.80
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$99.56
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$101.35
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$96.24
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.4%)
$228.05
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 6.4%)
$115.78
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 6.4%)
$98.41
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.96
Bull Case
$115.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 9.1%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$105.33
(+10%)
Market implied 9.1%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$65.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 1:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QCRH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Amy L Reasner
BUY
100 shares
2026-04-23
James D Klein
SELL
554 shares
2026-03-12
Todd A Gipple
SELL
8590 shares
2026-01-30
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