QCR (QCRH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QCRH - QCR Holdings Inc
$102.57
0.64 (0.63%)
▲
5d:
-0.25%
30d:
-3.02%
90d:
+6.42%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QCRH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QCRH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.03
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QCRH is currently trading at $102.57, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.47 to $104.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCRH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $103.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QCRH scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCRH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $103.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QCRH scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$100.47 -
$104.65
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($111.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.47 -
$104.65
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.01
Resistance Level
$103.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.46
Wall Street Target
$111.20
(+8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.1%
Profit Margin
37.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$105.03
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$107.55
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$110.13
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$102.80
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.9%)
$208.19
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 4.9%)
$118.32
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 4.9%)
$100.57
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.48
Bull Case
$118.31
(+15%)
Analyst growth 5.5%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$107.55
(+5%)
Market implied 5.5%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$69.31
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 1:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QCRH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Amy L Reasner
BUY
100 shares
2026-04-23
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