Republic Bancorp Inc/KY (RBCAA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RBCAA - Republic Bancorp Inc/KY
$90.69
-1.27 (-1.38%)
▼
5d:
-0.13%
30d:
-3.23%
90d:
-0.08%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RBCAA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RBCAA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.49
Based on 2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RBCAA is currently trading at $90.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.38 to $94.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RBCAA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RBCAA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$91.38 -
$94.44
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($98.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$91.38 -
$94.44
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.05
Resistance Level
$93.64
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.14
Wall Street Target
$98.00
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Profit Margin
33.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.50
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$94.35
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$96.24
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$90.80
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.3%)
$142.54
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 1.3%)
$94.33
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 1.3%)
$80.18
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.54
Bull Case
$106.72
(+18%)
Analyst growth 5.5%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$97.02
(+7%)
Market implied 5.5%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$62.53
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 2:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RBCAA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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