RBCAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RBCAA - Republic Bancorp Inc/KY

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$87.17
1.55 (1.80%) ▲
5d: +2.29%
30d: +9.57%
90d: +25.8%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 17, 2026 23d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RBCAA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.65
Based on -20.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.44
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RBCAA is currently trading at $87.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.06 to $86.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (11.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RBCAA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $87.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $79.06 - $86.10
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($80.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.5% growth with -11.3% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $79.06 - $86.10
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $78.93
Resistance Level $87.15
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.93
Wall Street Target $80.00 (-6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.1%
Profit Margin 34.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.5% premium
PE vs Historical 12.9 vs 11.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $88.62 (+4%)
2-Year Target $91.72 (+7%)
3-Year Target $94.93 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→12) PE COMPRESSION $85.87 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: -45.1%) $142.24 (+66%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: -45.1%) $84.47 (-1%)
Bear: (PE: 11.0, Growth: -45.1%) $71.80 (-16%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.48
Bull Case $95.25 (+11%)
Analyst growth 2.2%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case $86.59 (+1%)
Market implied 2.2%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case $57.64 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Scott Trager BUY 148 shares 2026-02-26

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