RBCAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RBCAA - Republic Bancorp Inc/KY

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$94.36
0.02 (0.02%) ▲
5d: -3.68%
30d: +3.97%
90d: +18.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 16, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: RBCAA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$89.87
Based on 1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.80
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RBCAA is currently trading at $94.36, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.99 to $99.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RBCAA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $92.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: RBCAA scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $91.99 - $99.55
Company Quality Score 31/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 44.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($98.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.5% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $91.99 - $99.55
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $92.50
Resistance Level $99.89
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.20
Wall Street Target $98.00
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 4.0%
Profit Margin 33.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.5% premium
PE vs Historical 14.2 vs 12.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $103.37 (+6%)
2-Year Target $109.05 (+11%)
3-Year Target $115.05 (+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→12) PE COMPRESSION $98.04 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -1.0%) $135.42 (+38%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: -1.0%) $95.06 (-3%)
Bear: (PE: 12.1, Growth: -1.0%) $80.80 (-18%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.42
Bull Case $114.81 (+22%)
Analyst growth 7.5%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case $104.37 (+11%)
Market implied 7.5%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case $66.03 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Scott Trager BUY 148 shares 2026-02-26

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