Rocky Brands (RCKY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RCKY - Rocky Brands, Inc.
$46.74
0.74 (1.61%)
▲
5d:
+3.64%
30d:
+5.41%
90d:
+17.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RCKY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RCKY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.48
Based on -5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RCKY is currently trading at $46.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.52 to $45.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RCKY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RCKY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$43.52 -
$45.44
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.52 -
$45.44
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.35
Resistance Level
$46.78
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.13
Wall Street Target
$50.00
(+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
281.3%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.28
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$49.88
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$51.52
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.76
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -15.1%)
$62.46
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: -15.1%)
$34.07
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: -15.1%)
$28.96
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.92
Bull Case
$54.21
(+16%)
Analyst growth 7.1%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case
$49.29
(+5%)
Market implied 7.1%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$31.28
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 4:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RCKY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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