REXR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

REXR - REXFORD INDUSTRIAL REALTY, INC.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$37.23
0.18 (0.49%) ▲
5d: +2.76%
30d: +3.47%
90d: +3.24%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 14, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: REXR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.85
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: REXR is currently trading at $37.23, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.95 to $38.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.5) is in line with its historical norms (37.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, REXR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: REXR scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $35.95 - $38.04
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($40.06)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $35.95 - $38.04
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $35.68
Resistance Level $38.16
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 37.52
Wall Street Target $40.06 (+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 28.0%
Profit Margin -39.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.3% premium
PE vs Historical 37.5 vs 37.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $37.16 (+0%)
2-Year Target $37.27 (+1%)
3-Year Target $37.38 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 38→37) PE COMPRESSION $36.97 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 37.5, Growth: 39.7%) $37.49 (+1%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 39.7%) $20.06 (-46%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 39.7%) $17.05 (-54%)
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:11 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael S Frankel SELL 23132 shares 2026-03-17
David P Stockert BUY 5000 shares 2026-02-27
Laura E Clark BUY 5310 shares 2026-02-27

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