REXR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REXR - REXFORD INDUSTRIAL REALTY, INC.
$34.75
0.63 (1.85%)
▲
5d:
+1.43%
30d:
+0.49%
90d:
+2.33%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: REXR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: REXR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.64
Based on 0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REXR is currently trading at $34.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.49 to $34.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.8) is in line with its historical norms (37.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REXR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.60, while resistance sits at $36.71.
Market Sentiment: REXR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.12 (+12.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REXR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.60, while resistance sits at $36.71.
Market Sentiment: REXR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.12 (+12.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.49 -
$34.67
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.12)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.49 -
$34.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.60
Resistance Level
$36.71
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.77
Wall Street Target
$39.13
(+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Profit Margin
23.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.8 vs 37.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.68
(0%)
2-Year Target
$34.61
(0%)
3-Year Target
$34.54
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→37)
$34.76
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.8, Growth: -3.9%)
$30.83
(+-11%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -3.9%)
$18.26
(-48%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -3.9%)
$15.52
(-55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 36.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.94
Bull Case
$37.74
(+9%)
Analyst growth 0.5%, PE expands to 39.9
Base Case
$34.31
(-1%)
Market implied 0.5%, PE stable at 36.3
Bear Case
$23.20
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.8 to 37.0
Stabilization Target:
$34.97
(+0.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael S Frankel
SELL
23132 shares
2026-03-17
David P Stockert
BUY
5000 shares
2026-02-27
Laura E Clark
BUY
5310 shares
2026-02-27
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