REXFORD INDUSTRIAL REALTY (REXR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REXR - REXFORD INDUSTRIAL REALTY, INC.
$36.69
0.67 (1.86%)
â˛
5d:
-2.08%
30d:
+0.16%
90d:
+7.09%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: REXR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: REXR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REXR is currently trading at $36.69, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.79 to $38.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.5) is in line with its historical norms (37.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REXR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.38 (+12.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REXR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.38 (+12.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$36.79 -
$38.24
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($40.38)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.79 -
$38.24
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.01
Resistance Level
$38.94
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.48
Wall Street Target
$40.38
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Profit Margin
-39.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.5 vs 37.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.77
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$35.52
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$35.27
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36â37)
$36.07
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.5, Growth: 39.7%)
$36.45
(+1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 39.7%)
$20.39
(-43%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 39.7%)
$17.33
(-52%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.5 to 37.3
Stabilization Target:
$36.83
(+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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