REXFORD INDUSTRIAL REALTY (REXR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REXR - REXFORD INDUSTRIAL REALTY, INC.
$38.04
1.04 (2.81%)
▲
5d:
+2.78%
30d:
+4.53%
90d:
+9.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: REXR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: REXR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REXR is currently trading at $38.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.48 to $37.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 38.5) is in line with its historical norms (37.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REXR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REXR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$36.48 -
$37.47
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($40.31)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.48 -
$37.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.56
Resistance Level
$38.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.52
Wall Street Target
$40.31
(+6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Profit Margin
-39.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
38.5 vs 37.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.50
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$38.96
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$39.43
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→37)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.07
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.5, Growth: 39.7%)
$38.49
(+1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 39.7%)
$20.16
(-47%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 39.7%)
$17.13
(-55%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael S Frankel
SELL
23132 shares
2026-03-17
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