RGC Resources (RGCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RGCO - RGC Resources Inc
$22.10
-0.57 (-2.51%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.95%
30d:
+4.54%
90d:
-0.09%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 18, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RGCO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RGCO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.42
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RGCO is currently trading at $22.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.19 to $22.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RGCO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RGCO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.19 -
$22.48
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.19 -
$22.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.75
Resistance Level
$23.25
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.79
Wall Street Target
$23.00
(+4.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.9%
Profit Margin
13.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 16.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.90
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$21.70
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$21.51
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â16)
$22.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.2%)
$29.67
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 2.2%)
$23.58
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 2.2%)
$20.05
(-9%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.35
Bull Case
$25.86
(+17%)
Analyst growth 3.7%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$23.51
(+6%)
Market implied 3.7%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$15.42
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 16.2
Stabilization Target:
$22.68
(+2.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RGCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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