RGC Resources (RGCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RGCO - RGC Resources Inc
$21.32
-0.32 (-1.48%)
▼
5d:
-1.89%
30d:
-1.16%
90d:
-9.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RGCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RGCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.58
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RGCO is currently trading at $21.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.45 to $21.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RGCO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RGCO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$21.45 -
$21.98
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.45 -
$21.98
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.12
Resistance Level
$22.07
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.23
Wall Street Target
$23.00
(+7.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.9%
Profit Margin
13.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 16.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.85
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$20.39
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$19.94
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$21.35
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 2.2%)
$30.13
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 2.2%)
$22.75
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 2.2%)
$19.34
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.37
Bull Case
$24.33
(+14%)
Analyst growth 2.2%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$22.11
(+4%)
Market implied 2.2%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$14.72
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$22.82
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 1:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RGCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Lawrence T Oliver
BUY
9 shares
2026-04-01
Christen Brooke Miles
BUY
5 shares
2026-04-01
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