RGCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RGCO - RGC Resources Inc
$22.02
-0.05 (-0.23%)
▼
5d:
+2.23%
30d:
-0.45%
90d:
-3.38%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RGCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RGCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.74
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RGCO is currently trading at $22.02, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.19 to $23.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RGCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $22.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RGCO scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RGCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $22.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RGCO scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.19 -
$23.78
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.19 -
$23.78
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.11
Resistance Level
$22.38
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.41
Wall Street Target
$23.00
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.9%
Profit Margin
13.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 16.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.14
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$20.72
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$20.30
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$21.61
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 2.2%)
$30.04
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 2.2%)
$23.02
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 2.2%)
$19.57
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.35
Bull Case
$24.28
(+10%)
Analyst growth 3.7%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$22.07
(+0%)
Market implied 3.7%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$14.47
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 16.4
Stabilization Target:
$22.96
(+6.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 11:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RGCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Lawrence T Oliver
BUY
9 shares
2026-04-01
Christen Brooke Miles
BUY
5 shares
2026-04-01
Christen Brooke Miles
BUY
5 shares
2026-03-02
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