RGS Regis Corporation SERVICES-PERSONAL SERVICES

Regis (RGS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$24.62
+0.92 (+3.88%) β–²
5d: -22.51% 30d: -14.21% 90d: -11.26%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (62%)
Quality Score
42/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$26.27 – $30.63
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.4x CHEAP
vs 9.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$34.00
+43.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$23.39 / $32.00
Trend: Sideways
πŸ’‘Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: RGS is down 22.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.96
Based on 2.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.46
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RGS is currently trading at $24.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.27 to $30.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.4) compared to its historical average (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RGS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $23.39, while resistance sits at $32.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: RGS scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+43.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $26.27 - $30.63
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $26.27 - $30.63
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $23.39
Resistance Level $32.00
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 43.5% below Wall St target ($34.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.43
Wall Street Target $34.00 (+43.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -63.3%
Profit Margin 2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.4 vs 9.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $22.21 (-6%)
2-Year Target $20.81 (-12%)
3-Year Target $19.50 (-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7β†’9) $23.62 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.6%) $66.43 (+180%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 1.6%) $24.85 (+5%)
Bear: (PE: 6.3, Growth: 1.6%) $21.12 (-11%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.11
Bull Case $39.43 (+66%)
Analyst growth 51.2%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case $35.85 (+51%)
Market implied 51.2%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case $16.12 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 9.0
Stabilization Target: $28.71 (+21.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +21.1%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (RGS)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Regis Corporation reported higher profitability and positive cash flow in Q3 2026 despite a decline in total revenue. New CEO Susan Lintonsmith outlined a growth strategy focusing on Supercuts, company-owned salons, and addressing underperformance at SmartStyle.
Key Retail Themes: Regis' focus on growth through Supercuts, company-owned salons, and strategic improvements CEO Susan Lintonsmith's transformation plan for the company
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 2:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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