Rithm Capital (RITM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$9.21
-0.06 (-0.65%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.05%
30d:
+8.35%
90d:
-11.1%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (65%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$8.57 â $9.35
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
3.9x
FAIR
vs 4.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$12.80
+39.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$9.11 / $9.70
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RITM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.73
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RITM is currently trading at $9.21, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.57 to $9.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.9) is in line with its historical norms (4.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RITM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.80 (+39.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RITM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.80 (+39.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$8.57 -
$9.35
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$8.57 -
$9.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$9.11
Resistance Level
$9.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.0% below Wall St target ($12.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.89
Wall Street Target
$12.80
(+39.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
57.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.9 vs 4.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.93
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$8.67
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$8.41
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4â4)
$9.28
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.8%)
$49.62
(+439%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.9, Growth: 1.8%)
$9.73
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.3, Growth: 1.8%)
$8.27
(-10%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.63
Bull Case
$20.39
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case
$18.54
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$6.30
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.9 to 4.3
Stabilization Target:
$10.17
(+10.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (RITM)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits users expressed bullish sentiment towards $RITM, praising its ability to hold its ground during market instability. No recent news articles were available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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