RITM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RITM - Rithm Capital Corp.
$9.23
0.08 (0.93%)
▲
5d:
+0.38%
30d:
-0.38%
90d:
+1.82%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RITM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.6% annual earnings decline despite 72% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RITM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.6% annual earnings decline despite 72% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.73
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RITM is currently trading at $9.22, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.11 to $9.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.9) compared to its historical average (4.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 72.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RITM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.35 (+46.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RITM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.35 (+46.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$9.11 -
$9.30
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.1% below Wall St target ($13.35)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.11 -
$9.30
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.97
Resistance Level
$9.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.86
Wall Street Target
$13.35
(+46.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
64.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
72.2%
Profit Margin
17.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.9 vs 4.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.72
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$8.32
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$7.94
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
$9.04
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.2%)
$58.22
(+537%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.9, Growth: 4.2%)
$10.33
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.3, Growth: 4.2%)
$8.78
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.09
Bull Case
$20.22
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 9.3
Base Case
$18.38
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 8.4
Bear Case
$6.25
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.9 to 4.4
Stabilization Target:
$10.41
(+13.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RITM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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