Raymond James Financial (RJF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RJF - Raymond James Financial, Inc.
$159.19
3.50 (2.25%)
▲
5d:
+1.16%
30d:
+0.61%
90d:
-5.97%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RJF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RJF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
RJF is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; RJF has been on it 3 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-22.
See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$282.32
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$175.30
9.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RJF is currently trading at $159.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $156.13 to $166.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 42.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RJF is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $159.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RJF scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $183.86 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RJF is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $159.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RJF scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $183.86 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$156.13 -
$166.21
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($183.86)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 73/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$156.13 -
$166.21
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$152.93
Resistance Level
$159.88
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.16
Wall Street Target
$183.86
(+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
42.0%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$156.17
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$153.20
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$150.29
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$158.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.0%)
$465.97
(+193%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 18.0%)
$261.75
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 18.0%)
$222.49
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.50
Bull Case
$212.50
(+34%)
Analyst growth 24.1%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$193.18
(+21%)
Market implied 24.1%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$105.87
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$168.38
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RJF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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