Raymond James Financial (RJF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RJF - Raymond James Financial, Inc.
$173.46
-0.07 (-0.04%)
▼
5d:
-4.22%
30d:
-4.26%
90d:
+15.32%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RJF is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: RJF is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$277.77
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$172.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RJF is currently trading at $173.46, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $175.53 to $180.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RJF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $172.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RJF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $172.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$175.53 -
$180.18
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RJF? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($186.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (41/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$175.53 -
$180.18
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$172.00
Resistance Level
$181.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.22
Wall Street Target
$186.00
(+7.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
42.0%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$174.85
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$176.25
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$177.66
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$173.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.1%)
$459.59
(+165%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 17.1%)
$278.37
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 17.1%)
$236.61
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.35
Bull Case
$238.79
(+38%)
Analyst growth 25.1%, PE expands to 16.8
Base Case
$217.08
(+25%)
Market implied 25.1%, PE stable at 15.3
Bear Case
$118.00
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RJF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Bella Loykhter Allaire
SELL
29551 shares
2026-03-19
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