ROCK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ROCK - Gibraltar Industries, Inc.
$37.63
-0.40 (-1.05%)
▼
5d:
-4.73%
30d:
+1.92%
90d:
-12.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ROCK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ROCK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.08
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.93
32.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ROCK is currently trading at $37.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.21 to $39.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROCK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.56, while resistance sits at $39.74.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.67 (+82.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROCK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.56, while resistance sits at $39.74.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.67 (+82.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$36.21 -
$39.46
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 82.5% below Wall St target ($68.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.21 -
$39.46
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.56
Resistance Level
$39.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.94
Wall Street Target
$68.67
(+82.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.6%
Profit Margin
-10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 9.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.07
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$32.69
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$30.46
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$37.61
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 24.8%)
$202.09
(+437%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 24.8%)
$73.22
(+95%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 24.8%)
$62.24
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$86.90
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$79.00
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$26.86
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$46.45
(+23.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 10:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ROCK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
William T Bosway
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-13
James S Metcalf
BUY
12444 shares
2026-03-10
William T Bosway
BUY
1500 shares
2026-03-10
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