ROCK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ROCK - Gibraltar Industries, Inc.
$46.48
0.09 (0.19%)
â˛
5d:
-2.92%
30d:
+4.73%
90d:
+30.78%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ROCK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ROCK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$89.55
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.60
16.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ROCK is currently trading at $46.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.71 to $49.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROCK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ROCK scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.25 (+61.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROCK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ROCK scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.25 (+61.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$43.71 -
$49.41
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 61.9% below Wall St target ($75.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with 64.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.71 -
$49.41
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.50
Resistance Level
$50.62
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.66
Wall Street Target
$75.25
(+61.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
64.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.6%
Profit Margin
-10.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.53
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$46.57
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$46.62
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â10)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.31
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 24.8%)
$187.52
(+303%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 24.8%)
$90.29
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 24.8%)
$76.74
(+65%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.96
Bull Case
$102.06
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.0
Base Case
$92.78
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.7
Bear Case
$31.55
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ROCK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
William T Bosway
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-13
James S Metcalf
BUY
12444 shares
2026-03-10
William T Bosway
BUY
1500 shares
2026-03-10
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