ROCK
Gibraltar Industries, Inc.
STEEL WORKS, BLAST FURNACES & ROLLING & FINISHING MILLS
Gibraltar Industries (ROCK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$31.12
-1.53 (-4.67%)
▼
5d:
-1.81%
30d:
-15.17%
90d:
-35.01%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$36.14 – $41.11
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.1x
FAIR
vs 9.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$55.25
+69.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$29.30 / $44.25
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ROCK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.53
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.69
23.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ROCK is currently trading at $31.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.14 to $41.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROCK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.30, while resistance sits at $44.25. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.25 (+69.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROCK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.30, while resistance sits at $44.25. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.25 (+69.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$36.14 -
$41.11
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$36.14 -
$41.11
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$29.30
Resistance Level
$44.25
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 69.3% below Wall St target ($55.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.12
Wall Street Target
$55.25
(+69.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
54.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.6%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 9.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.35
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$32.06
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$31.77
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$32.75
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 33.7%)
$169.95
(+421%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 33.7%)
$78.02
(+139%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 33.7%)
$66.32
(+103%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.60
Bull Case
$68.86
(+111%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$62.60
(+92%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$21.28
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 9.4
Stabilization Target:
$33.65
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ROCK)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment prevails on $ROCK as CEO William T. Bosway purchased a significant number of shares, increasing his holdings by 19,735 shares at a price of $37.44.
Key Retail Themes:
CEO buying activity
Share ownership disclosure
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ROCK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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