RPM International (RPM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RPM - RPM International, Inc.

PAINTS, VARNISHES, LACQUERS, ENAMELS & ALLIED PRODS
$101.72
1.84 (1.84%) ▲
5d: +1.63%
30d: +1.66%
90d: -4.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RPM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.67
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.24
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RPM is currently trading at $101.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.03 to $100.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RPM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $102.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $123.50 (+21.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $98.03 - $100.54
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.0%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($123.50)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $98.03 - $100.54
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $96.60
Resistance Level $102.10
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.29
Wall Street Target $123.50 (+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 13.3%
Profit Margin 8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.3 vs 17.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $100.50 (-1%)
2-Year Target $99.29 (-2%)
3-Year Target $98.10 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→18) $101.57 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.4%) $140.85 (+39%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 6.4%) $122.62 (+21%)
Bear: (PE: 14.7, Growth: 6.4%) $104.23 (+3%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.40
Bull Case $119.70 (+18%)
Analyst growth 9.0%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case $108.82 (+7%)
Market implied 9.0%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case $67.92 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.3 to 17.9
Stabilization Target: $105.31 (+3.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.5%
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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