RPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RPT - Rithm Property Trust Inc.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$12.21
-0.03 (-0.25%) ▼
5d: -0.89%
30d: -17.89%
90d: -16.6%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RPT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -16.4% annual earnings decline despite 50% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.39
51.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RPT is currently trading at $12.21, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.54 to $14.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.2) compared to its historical average (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RPT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.43, while resistance sits at $13.16.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+79.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $11.54 - $14.26
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 79.7% below Wall St target ($22.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.54 - $14.26
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.43
Resistance Level $13.16
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.16
Wall Street Target $22.00 (+79.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 37.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 50.0%
Profit Margin 12.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -16.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.2 vs 14.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -16.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.02 (-10%)
2-Year Target $9.91 (-19%)
3-Year Target $8.92 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→14) $15.31 (+25%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 733.3%) $104.95 (+757%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 733.3%) $41.31 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 6.9, Growth: 733.3%) $35.11 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 14.0
Stabilization Target: $21.00 (+71.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +71.6%
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Last updated: August 04, 2026 9:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:55 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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