Rithm Property Trust (RPT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RPT - Rithm Property Trust Inc.
$11.05
0.30 (2.79%)
â˛
5d:
-0.45%
30d:
+0.91%
90d:
-9.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RPT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RPT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.52
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.12
8.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RPT is currently trading at $11.05, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.66 to $11.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.4) compared to its historical average (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.67, while resistance sits at $11.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.50 (+67.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.67, while resistance sits at $11.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.50 (+67.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$10.66 -
$11.11
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 67.4% below Wall St target ($18.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.66 -
$11.11
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.67
Resistance Level
$11.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.44
Wall Street Target
$18.50
(+67.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
105.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Profit Margin
25.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 13.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.43
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$11.81
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$12.22
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.08
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 118.6%)
$51.28
(+364%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 118.6%)
$37.29
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 118.6%)
$31.70
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 50.76 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.22
Bull Case
$13.34
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 53.3
Base Case
$11.05
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 50.8
Bear Case
$8.45
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 45.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 03, 2026 7:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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