Red River Bancshares (RRBI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$104.14
+0.08 (+0.08%)
▲
5d:
-0.33%
30d:
+3.98%
90d:
+1.4%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (64%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$100.60 – $104.90
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.3x
FAIR
vs 12.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$115.00
+10.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$102.50 / $109.84
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: RRBI is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$124.92
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RRBI is currently trading at $104.14, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.60 to $104.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRBI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $102.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.00 (+10.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRBI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $102.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.00 (+10.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$100.60 -
$104.90
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$100.60 -
$104.90
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$102.50
Resistance Level
$109.84
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($115.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (48/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.25
Wall Street Target
$115.00
(+10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.6%
Profit Margin
36.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.54
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$108.99
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$111.49
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$104.30
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.2%)
$186.99
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 6.2%)
$124.80
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 6.2%)
$106.08
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.16
Bull Case
$125.60
(+21%)
Analyst growth 9.7%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$114.19
(+10%)
Market implied 9.7%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$70.76
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (RRBI)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
RRBI reported Q1 earnings before the open, beating EPS estimates by 3.8% with GAAP EPS of $1.90 and revenue of $34.3M, in line with expectations.
Key Retail Themes:
Positive earnings surprise
Revenue in line with estimates
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 6:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RRBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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