Red River Bancshares (RRBI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RRBI - Red River Bancshares, Inc. Common Stock
$103.41
1.99 (1.96%)
▲
5d:
+2.39%
30d:
+0.58%
90d:
+6.54%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RRBI is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: RRBI is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$118.61
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RRBI is currently trading at $103.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.40 to $102.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $103.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RRBI scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $103.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RRBI scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$100.40 -
$102.85
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($110.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 14% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.40 -
$102.85
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.00
Resistance Level
$103.85
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.46
Wall Street Target
$110.00
(+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Profit Margin
35.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.72
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$110.13
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$113.66
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$103.87
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 5.3%)
$183.25
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 5.3%)
$120.90
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 5.3%)
$102.77
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.05
Bull Case
$121.58
(+18%)
Analyst growth 9.0%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$110.53
(+7%)
Market implied 9.0%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$68.97
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 9:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RRBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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