Red River Bancshares (RRBI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RRBI - Red River Bancshares, Inc. Common Stock
$103.27
0.54 (0.53%)
▲
5d:
+1.97%
30d:
+3.17%
90d:
+3.56%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RRBI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RRBI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$118.61
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RRBI is currently trading at $103.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.18 to $102.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $103.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RRBI scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $103.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RRBI scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$100.18 -
$102.46
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($110.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 62/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.18 -
$102.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.42
Resistance Level
$103.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.44
Wall Street Target
$110.00
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Profit Margin
35.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.26
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$109.35
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$112.52
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$102.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.3%)
$178.40
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 5.3%)
$120.74
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 5.3%)
$102.63
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.11
Bull Case
$122.12
(+18%)
Analyst growth 8.1%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$111.01
(+8%)
Market implied 8.1%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$69.86
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 10:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RRBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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