Red Rock Resorts (RRR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RRR - Red Rock Resorts, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$50.43
1.17 (2.38%)
▲
5d:
-0.1%
30d:
-0.92%
90d:
-21.1%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RRR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RRR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.97
39.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RRR is currently trading at $50.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.26 to $52.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.1) compared to its historical average (25.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $51.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RRR scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.22 (+43.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $51.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RRR scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.22 (+43.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$49.26 -
$52.13
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
40th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 40th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.2% below Wall St target ($72.22)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.26 -
$52.13
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.41
(6.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.01
Resistance Level
$51.54
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.15
Wall Street Target
$72.22
(+43.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.3%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 25.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.39
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$40.85
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$36.76
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→25)
$50.83
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.9%)
$115.35
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 27.9%)
$105.45
(+109%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 27.9%)
$89.63
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.83
Bull Case
$53.19
(+6%)
Analyst growth -1.8%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case
$48.35
(-4%)
Market implied -1.8%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$33.50
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.2 to 25.1
Stabilization Target:
$69.72
(+38.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RRR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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