RUN
Sunrun Inc
MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
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Sunrun (RUN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$8.71
-1.03 (-10.57%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.35%
30d:
+14.76%
90d:
-11.48%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
Protect RUN Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (38%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$7.15 â $8.72
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
30.5x
STRETCHED
vs 20.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$13.82
+58.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$7.10 / $10.63
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RUN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 14.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $8.25 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 9.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.18
Based on -39.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RUN is currently trading at $8.71, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.15 to $8.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.5) compared to its historical average (20.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RUN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.10, while resistance sits at $10.63. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: RUN scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.82 (+58.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RUN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.10, while resistance sits at $10.63. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: RUN scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.82 (+58.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$7.15 -
$8.72
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
38.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$7.15 -
$8.72
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$7.10
Resistance Level
$10.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-10.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 58.7% below Wall St target ($13.82)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 14.9% growth expectation is conservative given 773% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.52
Wall Street Target
$13.82
(+58.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
51.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
772.8%
Profit Margin
14.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.9% premium
PE vs Historical
30.5 vs 20.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.01
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$11.50
(+32%)
3-Year Target
$13.21
(+52%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31â20)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.70
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.5, Growth: -83.8%)
$6.35
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -83.8%)
$4.13
(-53%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -83.8%)
$3.51
(-60%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.98
Bull Case
$5.36
(-39%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 5.4
Base Case
$4.87
(-44%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 4.9
Bear Case
$6.62
(-24%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (RUN)
Bearish
4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
3 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Sunrun's CEO, Mary Powell, has been named to the 2026 TIME100 Climate list for her leadership in accelerating the adoption of home battery storage and distributed power plants, bringing new flexible capacity to the grid.
Key Retail Themes:
CEO recognition
Grid reliability
Clean energy transition
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
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