RXO (RXO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RXO - RXO, Inc.
$28.69
0.09 (0.31%)
▲
5d:
+1.16%
30d:
+46.6%
90d:
+0.53%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RXO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RXO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RXO is currently trading at $28.69, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.69 to $26.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 44.5) compared to its historical average (54.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RXO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RXO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RXO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RXO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.69 -
$26.65
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.11)
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.69 -
$26.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.20
Resistance Level
$29.15
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.54
Wall Street Target
$28.11
(-2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-93.2%
Profit Margin
-1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
44.5 vs 54.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.85
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$25.14
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$23.53
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→54)
$28.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.5, Growth: 366.5%)
$96.83
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 366.5%)
$43.18
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 366.5%)
$36.70
(+28%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 44.5 to 54.3
Stabilization Target:
$34.98
(+21.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 14, 2026 8:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RXO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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