RXO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RXO - RXO, Inc.
$21.70
1.46 (7.21%)
▲
5d:
+7.16%
30d:
-19.18%
90d:
-6.1%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RXO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RXO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RXO is currently trading at $21.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.44 to $28.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 40.2) compared to its historical average (59.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RXO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.39, while resistance sits at $26.15. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: RXO has a strong technical setup (65/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.88 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RXO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.39, while resistance sits at $26.15. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: RXO has a strong technical setup (65/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.88 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.44 -
$28.49
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
92.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.44 -
$28.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.39
Resistance Level
$26.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.23
Wall Street Target
$24.88
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-93.2%
Profit Margin
-1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
40.2 vs 59.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.53
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$17.58
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$15.82
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→59)
$23.24
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.2, Growth: 672.8%)
$73.24
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 672.8%)
$36.83
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 672.8%)
$31.30
(+44%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 40.2 to 59.1
Stabilization Target:
$31.88
(+46.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 08, 2026 9:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RXO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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