SANM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SANM - Sanmina Corp
$185.56
2.08 (1.13%)
▲
5d:
-10.97%
30d:
-24.69%
90d:
-14.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SANM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SANM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$295.00
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$183.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SANM is currently trading at $185.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $192.02 to $239.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.3) compared to its historical average (15.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 68.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SANM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $162.41, while resistance sits at $223.51.
Market Sentiment: SANM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $260.00 (+58.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SANM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $162.41, while resistance sits at $223.51.
Market Sentiment: SANM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $260.00 (+58.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$192.02 -
$239.07
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SANM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.7% below Wall St target ($260.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$192.02 -
$239.07
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$162.41
Resistance Level
$223.51
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.30
Wall Street Target
$260.00
(+58.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
69.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
68.3%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 15.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$150.91
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$138.98
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$128.00
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→16)
$164.48
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 10.0%)
$369.42
(+126%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 10.0%)
$218.28
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 10.0%)
$185.54
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.90
Bull Case
$379.35
(+104%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 48.6
Base Case
$344.86
(+86%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 44.2
Bear Case
$117.25
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 15.8
Stabilization Target:
$210.54
(+28.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SANM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David V Hedley III
SELL
1024 shares
2026-02-24
Jonathan P Faust
SELL
10075 shares
2026-02-24
Alan Mcwilliams Reid
SELL
3500 shares
2026-02-13
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