SBSI Southside Bancshares, Inc. STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS Best Banking Stocks 2026 →

Southside Bancshares (SBSI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$34.94
-0.15 (-0.43%) ▼
5d: -1.61% 30d: +15.01% 90d: +5.81%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
28/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$30.21 – $34.11
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.0x FAIR
vs 9.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$35.67
+1.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$32.31 / $36.35
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SBSI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.88
Based on -6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.83
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SBSI is currently trading at $34.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.21 to $34.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SBSI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.31, while resistance sits at $36.35.

Market Sentiment: SBSI scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $30.21 - $34.11
Company Quality Score 28/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $30.21 - $34.11
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $32.31
Resistance Level $36.35
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.67)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.00
Wall Street Target $35.67 (+1.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 71.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 481.3%
Profit Margin 36.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.9% premium
PE vs Historical 10.0 vs 9.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $35.41 (+1%)
2-Year Target $35.72 (+2%)
3-Year Target $36.05 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→10) PE COMPRESSION $34.97 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -17.1%) $69.35 (+98%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: -17.1%) $34.91 (-1%)
Bear: (PE: 8.5, Growth: -17.1%) $29.67 (-15%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.31
Bull Case $40.92 (+17%)
Analyst growth 6.0%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case $37.20 (+6%)
Market implied 6.0%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case $23.85 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SBSI)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Southside Bancshares (SBSI) reported stronger-than-expected Q3 earnings with GAAP EPS of $0.93, surpassing analyst estimates of $0.79 by 17.7%. The holding company for Southside Bank recorded revenue of $120.6 million, exceeding the expected $72.6 million.
Key Retail Themes: Strong earnings report Beat on earnings and revenue estimates
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:02 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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