Southside Bancshares (SBSI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SBSI - Southside Bancshares, Inc.
$32.07
-0.02 (-0.06%)
▼
5d:
-1.14%
30d:
-2.34%
90d:
-5.73%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SBSI is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SBSI is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.58
Based on 1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SBSI is currently trading at $32.07, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.85 to $32.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBSI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $31.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBSI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $31.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$31.85 -
$32.70
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.85 -
$32.70
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.36
Resistance Level
$33.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.90
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
31.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.23
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$32.39
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$32.55
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.90
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -1.3%)
$62.87
(+96%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: -1.3%)
$30.85
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: -1.3%)
$26.23
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.56
Bull Case
$44.68
(+39%)
Analyst growth 26.6%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$40.61
(+27%)
Market implied 26.6%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$21.82
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SBSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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