What is the fair value of SBSW stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for SBSW to be between $10.38 and $12.67. The current price is $12.54.

What is the analyst price target for SBSW?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for SBSW is $12.96. This implies a potential upside of 3.4% from current levels.

SBSW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SBSW - Sibanye-Stillwater American Depositary Shares, each representing four ordinary shares

Gold and Silver Ores

$12.54

-0.03 (-0.24%) ▼

5d: -4.42%

30d: +17.09%

90d: +28.75%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your SBSW Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Sep 01, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $10.64 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 5.6/10

Get Alerted When SBSW Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: SBSW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 10.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$21.11

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$13.11

4.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SBSW is currently trading at $12.54, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.38 to $12.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 0.3) compared to its historical average (0.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SBSW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.35, while resistance sits at $13.44.

Market Sentiment: SBSW scores 17/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $10.38 - $12.67

Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 41.4%

Protect Your Profits

Holding SBSW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Weak technical setup (17/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.96)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.0% growth with 64.3% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.38 - $12.67

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.35

Resistance Level $13.44

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 0.35

Wall Street Target $12.96 (+3.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 64.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -38.2%

Profit Margin 9.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +10.0% premium

PE vs Historical 0.4 vs 0.3 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +10.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $13.79 (+10%)

2-Year Target $15.17 (+21%)

3-Year Target $16.69 (+33%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 0→0) PE COMPRESSION $14.43 (+15%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 28.3%) $1538.70 (+12170%)

Base: (SPY PE: 0.3, Growth: 28.3%) $26.47 (+111%)

Bear: (PE: 0.3, Growth: 28.3%) $22.50 (+79%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 10.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.21

Bull Case $27.65 (+121%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 11.4

Base Case $25.14 (+101%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 10.4

Bear Case $8.55 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:54 AM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is SBSW showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS BUYING

Recent Transactions

Richard Peter Menell BUY 2500 shares 2026-03-24

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for SBSW.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Other Precious Metals & Mining Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Other Precious Metals & Mining by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
TFPM Triple Flag Precious Met…	STRONG BUY 10 analysts	$39	41 HOLD
PPTA Perpetua Resources Corp	STRONG BUY 5 analysts	$37	49 HOLD
VOXR Vox Royalty Corp. Common…	STRONG BUY 5 analysts	$8	43 HOLD
ITRG Integra Resources Corp	STRONG BUY 6 analysts	$6	37 SELL
MUX McEwen Mining Inc.	STRONG BUY 5 analysts	$31	35 SELL

TFPM Triple Flag Preci…

41 HOLD

PPTA Perpetua Resource…

49 HOLD

VOXR Vox Royalty Corp.…

43 HOLD

ITRG Integra Resources…

37 SELL

MUX McEwen Mining Inc.

35 SELL

Advanced SBSW Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SBSW price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for SBSW

SBSW Technical Chart SBSW Price Prediction SBSW Earnings Date SBSW Investment Advisor SBSW Fair Price Analyzer SBSW Options Advisor SBSW Options Chain SBSW Options Analysis SBSW Competitors

Sibanye-Stillwater American Depositary Shares, each representing four ordinary shares

Gold and Silver Ores

About

Sibanye Stillwater Ltd is a South African mining and metals processing group with a diverse portfolio of operations, projects, and investments across five continents. The Group is also one of the foremost recyclers of PGM autocatalysts and has interests in mine tailings retreatment operations. It is a producer of platinum, palladium, and rhodium and is a top-tier gold producer. It also produces and refines iridium and ruthenium, nickel, chrome, copper, and cobalt. Its products are Gold, Nickel, Zinc, Chrome, PGMs, and other.

Exchange: XNYS

Market Cap: $8,123,728,048

Employees: 72,423

Listed Since: 2013-02-11

Website: Visit

CIK: 0001786909

Compare SBSW with Peers

SBSW vs IMPUY
Which one to buy?

SBSW vs SSRM
Which one to buy?

SBSW vs BTG
Which one to buy?

SBSW vs EQX
Which one to buy?

SBSW vs WPM
Which one to buy?

SBSW vs SSRM
Winner: Tie

MUFG vs SBSW
Winner: Tie

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie