Scholastic (SCHL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCHL - Scholastic Corp
$35.01
-0.26 (-0.74%)
▼
5d:
-8.64%
30d:
-16.64%
90d:
-20.45%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 24, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SCHL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SCHL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.29
27.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCHL is currently trading at $35.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.27 to $41.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (15.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCHL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $34.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SCHL scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+20.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCHL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $34.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SCHL scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+20.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$37.27 -
$41.82
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
39th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SCHL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 39th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.27 -
$41.82
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.34
(9.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.78
Resistance Level
$39.65
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.41
Wall Street Target
$42.00
(+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.5%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 15.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.47
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$32.00
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$30.59
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$34.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 45.8%)
$163.20
(+366%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 45.8%)
$108.53
(+210%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 45.8%)
$92.25
(+164%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.32
Bull Case
$43.65
(+25%)
Analyst growth 12.5%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$39.68
(+13%)
Market implied 12.5%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$23.98
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 15.3
Stabilization Target:
$39.93
(+14.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCHL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SCHL price and gamma walls.
