Scholastic (SCHL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCHL - Scholastic Corp
$38.66
-0.35 (-0.90%)
âŧ
5d:
+2.63%
30d:
+11.0%
90d:
-5.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 24, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SCHL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SCHL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.65
18.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCHL is currently trading at $38.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.72 to $38.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCHL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $37.03, while resistance sits at $40.20.
Market Sentiment: SCHL scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCHL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $37.03, while resistance sits at $40.20.
Market Sentiment: SCHL scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$34.72 -
$38.69
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
37th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SCHL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 37th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.72 -
$38.69
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$2.53
(6.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.03
Resistance Level
$40.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.95
Wall Street Target
$38.50
(-1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.5%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.85
(0%)
2-Year Target
$38.70
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$38.54
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â15)
$38.94
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 45.8%)
$160.69
(+312%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 45.8%)
$120.93
(+210%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 45.8%)
$102.79
(+164%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.42
Bull Case
$78.18
(+100%)
Analyst growth 83.8%, PE expands to 30.0
Base Case
$71.08
(+82%)
Market implied 83.8%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case
$26.30
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$39.41
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCHL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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