Seven Hills Realty Trust (SEVN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$6.50
-0.17 (-2.55%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.85%
30d:
-4.13%
90d:
-16.24%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$6.33 â $6.89
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.6x
CHEAP
vs 7.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$8.70
+33.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$6.48 / $7.01
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SEVN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.99
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.93
34.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SEVN is currently trading at $6.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.33 to $6.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.6) compared to its historical average (7.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 55.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SEVN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.70 (+33.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SEVN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.70 (+33.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$6.33 -
$6.89
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$6.33 -
$6.89
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$6.48
Resistance Level
$7.01
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.8% below Wall St target ($8.70)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.63
Wall Street Target
$8.70
(+33.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
68.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
55.1%
Profit Margin
53.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.6 vs 7.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.00
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$5.54
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$5.11
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6â7)
$6.54
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 24.4%)
$44.14
(+579%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.6, Growth: 24.4%)
$12.51
(+92%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.8, Growth: 24.4%)
$10.63
(+64%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$10.46
(+61%)
Analyst growth 42.6%, PE expands to 9.1
Base Case
$9.51
(+46%)
Market implied 42.6%, PE stable at 8.2
Bear Case
$4.54
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.6 to 7.2
Stabilization Target:
$8.32
(+28.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.0%
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:49 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
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Sells
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Net
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