SF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SF - Stifel Financial Corp.
$75.20
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+0.15%
30d:
+6.73%
90d:
-2.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.77
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SF is currently trading at $75.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.03 to $74.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 469.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SF is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.12 (+13.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SF is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.12 (+13.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$70.03 -
$74.18
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($85.12)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.03 -
$74.18
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.96
Resistance Level
$72.43
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.67
Wall Street Target
$85.13
(+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
469.2%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.07
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$72.96
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$71.87
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$75.46
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.6%)
$213.22
(+184%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 11.6%)
$104.42
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 11.6%)
$88.76
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.30
Bull Case
$110.38
(+47%)
Analyst growth 32.5%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$100.35
(+33%)
Market implied 32.5%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$51.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$78.96
(+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Rubulotta
SELL
600 shares
2026-02-02
James M Zemlyak
SELL
13 shares
2026-01-29
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