HOOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HOOD - Robinhood Markets, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$105.71
-2.44 (-2.26%)
▼
5d:
+13.43%
30d:
+39.53%
90d:
+49.12%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: HOOD is 9.4% above its trading range ($96.66). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: HOOD is 9.4% above its trading range ($96.66). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$121.52
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HOOD is currently trading at $105.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.49 to $96.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 42.4) compared to its historical average (35.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOOD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.93, while resistance sits at $112.50.
Market Sentiment: HOOD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOOD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.93, while resistance sits at $112.50.
Market Sentiment: HOOD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$76.49 -
$96.66
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HOOD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($101.15)
- BEARISH: Market expects 6.0% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.49 -
$96.66
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.93
Resistance Level
$112.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
42.35
Wall Street Target
$101.15
(-4.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Profit Margin
41.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.0% premium
PE vs Historical
42.4 vs 35.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$112.05
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$118.78
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$125.90
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42→36)
PE COMPRESSION
$105.83
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 42.4, Growth: 34.8%)
$258.90
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.8%)
$133.14
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 34.8%)
$113.17
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (53x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (42x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 52.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case
$144.85
(+37%)
Analyst growth 21.8%, PE expands to 58.0
Base Case
$131.68
(+25%)
Market implied 21.8%, PE stable at 52.8
Bear Case
$73.54
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 44.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HOOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Baiju Bhatt
SELL
57261 shares
2026-04-16
Shiv Verma
SELL
5436 shares
2026-04-15
Steven M Quirk
SELL
8540 shares
2026-04-15
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