HOOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HOOD - Robinhood Markets, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$86.56
-0.04 (-0.05%)
▼
5d:
-8.8%
30d:
-20.33%
90d:
+18.75%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HOOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HOOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$128.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HOOD is currently trading at $86.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.53 to $112.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.7) is in line with its historical norms (36.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOOD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $83.68, while resistance sits at $108.21.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.51 (+38.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOOD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $83.68, while resistance sits at $108.21.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.51 (+38.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$94.53 -
$112.07
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.1% below Wall St target ($119.51)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$94.53 -
$112.07
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.68
Resistance Level
$108.21
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.70
Wall Street Target
$119.51
(+38.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Profit Margin
41.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.7 vs 36.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.62
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$80.77
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$78.03
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→36)
$86.63
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.7, Growth: 30.3%)
$191.48
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 30.3%)
$121.40
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 30.3%)
$103.19
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.18
Bull Case
$115.68
(+34%)
Analyst growth 21.4%, PE expands to 43.7
Base Case
$105.17
(+22%)
Market implied 21.4%, PE stable at 39.7
Bear Case
$58.89
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.7 to 36.3
Stabilization Target:
$96.10
(+11.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 1:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HOOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Baiju Bhatt
SELL
57261 shares
2026-04-16
Shiv Verma
SELL
5436 shares
2026-04-15
Steven M Quirk
SELL
8540 shares
2026-04-15
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