HOOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HOOD - Robinhood Markets, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$108.13
13.03 (13.70%)
▲
5d:
+13.15%
30d:
+6.45%
90d:
+42.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $93.29 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HOOD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HOOD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HOOD is currently trading at $108.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.26 to $105.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 40.1) compared to its historical average (36.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOOD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $109.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: HOOD scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $120.01 (+11.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOOD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $109.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: HOOD scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $120.01 (+11.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$90.26 -
$105.01
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.9%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+13.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($120.01)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.26 -
$105.01
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$91.44
Resistance Level
$109.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.10
Wall Street Target
$120.01
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.6%
Profit Margin
42.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
40.1 vs 36.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$111.91
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$115.83
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$119.89
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→36)
PE COMPRESSION
$108.22
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.1, Growth: 30.4%)
$239.58
(+122%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 30.4%)
$119.91
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 30.4%)
$101.92
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (40x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.37
Bull Case
$119.86
(+11%)
Analyst growth 13.8%, PE expands to 44.5
Base Case
$108.96
(+1%)
Market implied 13.8%, PE stable at 40.4
Bear Case
$65.12
(-40%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 2:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HOOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Baiju Bhatt
SELL
57261 shares
2026-04-16
Shiv Verma
SELL
5436 shares
2026-04-15
Steven M Quirk
SELL
8540 shares
2026-04-15
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Advanced HOOD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HOOD price and gamma walls.
