Shoals Technologies Group (SHLS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHLS - Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$7.30
0.19 (2.67%)
▲
5d:
+3.84%
30d:
-12.47%
90d:
-26.19%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $7.42 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026
Strength: 5.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SHLS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SHLS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.98
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.17
34.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHLS is currently trading at $7.30, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.94 to $8.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHLS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.61, while resistance sits at $7.66.
Market Sentiment: SHLS scores 94/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.32 (+55.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHLS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.61, while resistance sits at $7.66.
Market Sentiment: SHLS scores 94/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.32 (+55.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$6.94 -
$8.53
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (94/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.0% below Wall St target ($11.32)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 94/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.94 -
$8.53
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.61
Resistance Level
$7.66
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.24
Wall Street Target
$11.32
(+55.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.5%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 17.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.72
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$6.18
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$5.68
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$7.30
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 24.3%)
$21.36
(+193%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 24.3%)
$14.02
(+92%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 24.3%)
$11.92
(+63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.19
Bull Case
$15.64
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.2
Base Case
$14.22
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.4
Bear Case
$4.83
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 17.0
Stabilization Target:
$9.37
(+28.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 9:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced SHLS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SHLS price and gamma walls.
