Shoals Technologies Group (SHLS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHLS - Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$8.13
0.03 (0.37%)
▲
5d:
+9.13%
30d:
+21.34%
90d:
-18.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SHLS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SHLS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.77
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.03
26.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHLS is currently trading at $8.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.91 to $7.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHLS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SHLS scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.32 (+39.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHLS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SHLS scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.32 (+39.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.91 -
$7.74
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SHLS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.2% below Wall St target ($11.32)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.91 -
$7.74
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.26
Resistance Level
$8.27
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.75
Wall Street Target
$11.32
(+39.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.5%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 16.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.79
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$7.46
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$7.15
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$8.14
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 24.3%)
$21.60
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 24.3%)
$15.62
(+92%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 24.3%)
$13.28
(+63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.19
Bull Case
$17.82
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.9
Base Case
$16.20
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.6
Bear Case
$5.51
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$9.26
(+13.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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