SID Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SID - Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. (CSN)
$1.27
-0.11 (-7.97%)
▼
5d:
+0.79%
30d:
+46.38%
90d:
+4.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SID shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SID shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.57
50.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SID is currently trading at $1.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.88 to $1.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.1) compared to its historical average (8.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3320.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SID is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.99, while resistance sits at $1.38. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: SID scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SID is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.99, while resistance sits at $1.38. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: SID scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$0.88 -
$1.18
Company Quality Score
29/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
11.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.6% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($1.20)
- WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$0.88 -
$1.18
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$0.99
Resistance Level
$1.38
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.08
Wall Street Target
$1.20
(-5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3320.6%
Profit Margin
-5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.1 vs 8.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.14
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1.03
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$0.93
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→9)
$1.55
(+22%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 309.8%)
$17.02
(+1240%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.1, Growth: 309.8%)
$4.29
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.3, Growth: 309.8%)
$3.64
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.1 to 8.5
Stabilization Target:
$2.12
(+67.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+67.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 3:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SID showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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