SID Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SID - Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. (CSN)
$1.16
0.04 (3.57%)
▲
5d:
+5.45%
30d:
-0.85%
90d:
+21.09%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SID shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SID shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.03
42.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SID is currently trading at $1.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.05 to $1.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.6) compared to its historical average (6.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3320.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SID is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.97, while resistance sits at $1.23. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: SID scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SID is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.97, while resistance sits at $1.23. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: SID scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$1.05 -
$1.24
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (84/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($1.15)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 22% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1.05 -
$1.24
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$0.97
Resistance Level
$1.23
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.64
Wall Street Target
$1.15
(-0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3320.6%
Profit Margin
-5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.6 vs 6.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.04
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$0.94
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$0.85
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→7)
$1.22
(+5%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 309.8%)
$17.21
(+1384%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.6, Growth: 309.8%)
$3.91
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.9, Growth: 309.8%)
$3.33
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.6 to 6.7
Stabilization Target:
$1.68
(+44.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+44.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SID showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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