Is NUE stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, NUE is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: NUE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of NUE stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for NUE to be between $249.66 and $271.43. The current price is $259.43.

What is the analyst price target for NUE?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for NUE is $283.69. This implies a potential upside of 9.4% from current levels.

Nucor (NUE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NUE - Nucor Corporation

STEEL WORKS, BLAST FURNACES & ROLLING MILLS (COKE OVENS)

$259.43

3.97 (1.55%) ▲

5d: -1.16%

30d: -4.55%

90d: -0.56%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your NUE Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 26, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $256.87 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 6.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NUE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 1.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$311.63

Based on 2.9% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$193.50

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NUE is currently trading at $259.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $249.66 to $271.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 93.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $246.00, while resistance sits at $268.47.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $249.66 - $271.43

Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 67.6%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($283.69)
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (46/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $249.66 - $271.43

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $246.00

Resistance Level $268.47

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.44

Wall Street Target $283.69 (+9.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 93.8%

Profit Margin 8.0%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.3% cheaper

PE vs Historical 13.4 vs 14.0 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $256.06 (-1%)

2-Year Target $252.73 (-3%)

3-Year Target $249.44 (-4%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→14) $259.76 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 1.8%) $410.72 (+58%)

Base: (SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 1.8%) $273.76 (+6%)

Bear: (PE: 11.4, Growth: 1.8%) $232.69 (-10%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 20.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.42

Bull Case $436.61 (+68%)

Analyst growth 55.4%, PE expands to 22.6

Base Case $396.92 (+53%)

Market implied 55.4%, PE stable at 20.6

Bear Case $173.71 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 14.0

Stabilization Target: $270.16 (+4.1%)

PE Expansion Potential: +4.1%

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced NUE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NUE price and gamma walls.

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