NUE
Nucor Corporation
STEEL WORKS, BLAST FURNACES & ROLLING MILLS (COKE OVENS)
Nucor (NUE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$261.39
+4.92 (+1.92%)
▲
5d:
-2.43%
30d:
+2.99%
90d:
-4.0%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (81%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$249.26 – $268.45
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.9x
CHEAP
vs 13.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$296.81
+13.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$244.64 / $287.70
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NUE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$425.82
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$264.40
1.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NUE is currently trading at $261.39, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $249.26 to $268.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 120.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $244.64, while resistance sits at $287.70.
Market Sentiment: NUE scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $296.81 (+13.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $244.64, while resistance sits at $287.70.
Market Sentiment: NUE scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $296.81 (+13.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$249.26 -
$268.45
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$249.26 -
$268.45
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$244.64
Resistance Level
$287.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($296.81)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.87
Wall Street Target
$296.81
(+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
120.5%
Profit Margin
9.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 13.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$249.37
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$237.90
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$226.95
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$262.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.3%)
$586.38
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 10.3%)
$350.33
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 10.3%)
$297.78
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.70
Bull Case
$395.87
(+51%)
Analyst growth 40.3%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$359.88
(+38%)
Market implied 40.3%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$174.40
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$301.81
(+15.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NUE)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish trader on StockTwits expresses optimism about $NUE, mentioning the company's talent acquisition efforts. No recent news articles are available.
Key Retail Themes:
Company's talent acquisition
Bullish trader sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NUE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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