NUE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NUE - Nucor Corporation
$257.29
0.25 (0.10%)
▲
5d:
+3.93%
30d:
+17.47%
90d:
+14.2%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NUE is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NUE is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$265.98
Based on 0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$165.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NUE is currently trading at $257.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $225.41 to $249.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $230.00, while resistance sits at $270.02.
Market Sentiment: NUE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $230.00, while resistance sits at $270.02.
Market Sentiment: NUE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$225.41 -
$249.16
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NUE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($280.31)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$225.41 -
$249.16
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$230.00
Resistance Level
$270.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.18
Wall Street Target
$280.31
(+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
93.8%
Profit Margin
8.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 14.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$258.32
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$259.35
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$260.39
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$257.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -2.1%)
$352.60
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: -2.1%)
$241.23
(-6%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: -2.1%)
$205.04
(-20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.57
Bull Case
$408.08
(+59%)
Analyst growth 44.3%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$370.98
(+44%)
Market implied 44.3%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$174.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NUE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kenneth Rex Query
SELL
7452 shares
2026-02-11
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Advanced NUE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NUE price and gamma walls.
