Nucor (NUE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NUE - Nucor Corporation
$256.98
-7.56 (-2.86%)
▼
5d:
+0.9%
30d:
+4.05%
90d:
+3.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NUE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NUE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$382.30
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$237.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NUE is currently trading at $256.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $242.30 to $258.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 93.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $247.41, while resistance sits at $266.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $247.41, while resistance sits at $266.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$242.30 -
$258.38
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NUE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($285.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$242.30 -
$258.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$247.41
Resistance Level
$266.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.62
Wall Street Target
$285.00
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
93.8%
Profit Margin
8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$256.87
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$249.42
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$242.19
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$264.73
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.5%)
$517.30
(+96%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 7.5%)
$328.84
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 7.5%)
$279.51
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.54
Bull Case
$480.66
(+82%)
Analyst growth 67.1%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$436.97
(+65%)
Market implied 67.1%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$177.82
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$289.17
(+9.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 3:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NUE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NUE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NUE price and gamma walls.
