SII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SII - Sprott Inc.

Finance Services
$103.01
-3.66 (-3.43%) ▼
5d: +0.17%
30d: -8.62%
90d: -21.0%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$216.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$134.22
23.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SII is currently trading at $103.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.05 to $112.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.2) compared to its historical average (26.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 145.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SII is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $101.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.00 (+50.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $104.05 - $112.24
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 37th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 37th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 50.5% below Wall St target ($155.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $104.05 - $112.24
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$8.05 (7.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $101.93
Resistance Level $111.40
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.20
Wall Street Target $155.00 (+50.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 229.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 145.7%
Profit Margin 22.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.2 vs 26.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $98.37 (-5%)
2-Year Target $93.95 (-9%)
3-Year Target $89.72 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→27) $103.25 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.2, Growth: 33.9%) $104.06 (+1%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 33.9%) $92.98 (-10%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 33.9%) $79.03 (-23%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.28
Bull Case $158.83 (+54%)
Analyst growth 35.4%, PE expands to 35.8
Base Case $144.39 (+40%)
Market implied 35.4%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case $72.54 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.2 to 26.7
Stabilization Target: $118.55 (+15.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +15.1%
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:25 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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