Sirius XM (SIRI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$31.85
+0.11 (+0.35%)
▲
5d:
-1.7%
30d:
+17.31%
90d:
+9.36%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect SIRI Gains
Updated Nov 13, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$26.21 – $31.20
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.7x
STRETCHED
vs 7.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$34.31
+7.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$29.05 / $33.76
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SIRI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 29, 2026 at $28.22 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.08
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SIRI is currently trading at $31.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.21 to $31.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (7.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIRI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.05, while resistance sits at $33.76.
Market Sentiment: SIRI scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIRI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.05, while resistance sits at $33.76.
Market Sentiment: SIRI scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$26.21 -
$31.20
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$26.21 -
$31.20
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$29.05
Resistance Level
$33.76
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding SIRI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.31)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.1% growth with -0.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.66
Wall Street Target
$34.31
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.2%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.1% premium
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 7.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.11
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$36.53
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$39.13
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.99
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.7%)
$88.69
(+179%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 10.7%)
$43.15
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 10.7%)
$35.28
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.56
Bull Case
$44.96
(+41%)
Analyst growth 28.8%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$40.87
(+28%)
Market implied 28.8%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$21.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SIRI)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Traders on StockTwits express bullish sentiment towards $SIRI, with some suggesting a potential buyout and a return to $5. No recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes:
buyout speculation
positive sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SIRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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