SIRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SIRI - Sirius XM Holdings, Inc
$28.69
0.30 (1.06%)
▲
5d:
+0.81%
30d:
-3.95%
90d:
-1.03%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $29.91 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SIRI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SIRI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.95
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SIRI is currently trading at $28.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.79 to $31.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (7.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SIRI scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.00 (+12.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SIRI scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.00 (+12.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$28.79 -
$31.03
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($32.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.79 -
$31.03
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.92
Resistance Level
$29.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.70
Wall Street Target
$32.00
(+12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.7%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 7.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.70
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$31.06
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$32.49
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.38
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.0%)
$84.73
(+199%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 9.0%)
$36.74
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 9.0%)
$31.23
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.49
Bull Case
$41.32
(+44%)
Analyst growth 31.0%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case
$37.57
(+31%)
Market implied 31.0%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$19.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SIRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SIRI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SIRI price and gamma walls.
