SIRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SIRI - Sirius XM Holdings, Inc
$28.08
-0.69 (-2.40%)
▼
5d:
-5.36%
30d:
+4.89%
90d:
+24.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SIRI trades at premium valuation expecting 5.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: SIRI trades at premium valuation expecting 5.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.43
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SIRI is currently trading at $28.08, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.12 to $28.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (7.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIRI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.67, while resistance sits at $30.11.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIRI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.67, while resistance sits at $30.11.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$26.12 -
$28.73
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SIRI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.1% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.4%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.12 -
$28.73
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.67
Resistance Level
$30.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.34
Wall Street Target
$28.00
(-0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.8%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 7.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.51
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$31.02
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$32.60
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.15
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 8.0%)
$92.86
(+231%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 8.0%)
$35.34
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 8.0%)
$30.04
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.36
Bull Case
$46.57
(+56%)
Analyst growth 42.7%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$42.34
(+42%)
Market implied 42.7%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$20.18
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SIRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John W. Hickenlooper
SELL
2026-02-05
August Pfluger
SELL
2026-01-13
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