SNA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SNA - Snap-on Incorporated

CUTLERY, HANDTOOLS & GENERAL HARDWARE
$410.41
1.36 (0.33%) ▲
5d: +1.56%
30d: +1.77%
90d: +7.04%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 15, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SNA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$503.43
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$312.59
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SNA is currently trading at $410.41, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $399.96 to $411.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SNA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $420.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $399.96 - $411.75
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 26th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 26th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($409.33)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $399.96 - $411.75
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$12.95 (3.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $392.42
Resistance Level $420.91
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.15
Wall Street Target $409.33 (+0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 5.1%
Profit Margin 19.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.6% premium
PE vs Historical 19.2 vs 17.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $419.69 (+3%)
2-Year Target $430.60 (+5%)
3-Year Target $441.79 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→18) PE COMPRESSION $408.39 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.8, Growth: 7.8%) $556.23 (+36%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 7.8%) $511.80 (+25%)
Bear: (PE: 16.3, Growth: 7.8%) $435.03 (+6%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $19.58
Bull Case $497.87 (+21%)
Analyst growth 9.1%, PE expands to 23.3
Base Case $452.61 (+10%)
Market implied 9.1%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case $282.08 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
June C Lemerand SELL 1378 shares 2026-02-25
Nicholas T Pinchuk SELL 23229 shares 2026-02-23
Aldo John Pagliari SELL 7043 shares 2026-02-19

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