Snap-on (SNA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SNA - Snap-on Incorporated

CUTLERY, HANDTOOLS & GENERAL HARDWARE
$356.46
-12.45 (-3.37%) ▼
5d: -2.58%
30d: -3.72%
90d: -11.79%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SNA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$506.91
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$314.75
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SNA is currently trading at $356.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $361.42 to $372.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SNA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $328.86, while resistance sits at $371.19. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: SNA scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $412.67 (+11.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $361.42 - $372.43
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 50.0%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($412.67)
  • WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $361.42 - $372.43
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $328.86
Resistance Level $371.20
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.27
Wall Street Target $412.67 (+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 5.1%
Profit Margin 19.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.3 vs 17.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $365.59 (-1%)
2-Year Target $362.30 (-2%)
3-Year Target $359.04 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→18) $367.96 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.1%) $535.38 (+45%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 8.1%) $465.59 (+26%)
Bear: (PE: 14.7, Growth: 8.1%) $395.75 (+7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $19.62
Bull Case $438.81 (+19%)
Analyst growth 8.9%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case $398.92 (+8%)
Market implied 8.9%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case $249.17 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.3 to 17.7
Stabilization Target: $378.08 (+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.5%
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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