SON Sonoco Products Company PAPERBOARD CONTAINERS & BOXES

Sonoco Products (SON) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$48.94
+0.25 (+0.51%) ▲
5d: -2.95% 30d: -1.45% 90d: -13.76%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (81%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$48.52 – $50.53
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.4x FAIR
vs 8.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$57.13
+16.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$48.57 / $52.34
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: SON is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.19
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.24
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SON is currently trading at $48.94, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.52 to $50.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SON is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.12 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $48.52 - $50.53
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $48.52 - $50.53
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level $48.57
Resistance Level $52.34
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 13, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($57.12)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with -4.2% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.39
Wall Street Target $57.13 (+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -78.8%
Profit Margin -3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.2% premium
PE vs Historical 8.4 vs 8.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $49.53 (+1%)
2-Year Target $50.12 (+2%)
3-Year Target $50.72 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) PE COMPRESSION $48.96 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.0%) $146.08 (+199%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 8.0%) $61.72 (+26%)
Bear: (PE: 7.1, Growth: 8.0%) $52.46 (+7%)
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SON)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Sonoco named to Newsweek's list of America's Most Trustworthy Companies for the second year in a row, based on consumer, employee, and investor trust and online media sentiment.
Key Retail Themes: Company recognition Trustworthiness
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 6:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive SON Research Pages
SON Technical Chart SON Price Prediction SON Intrinsic Value DCF SON Earnings Date SON Investment Advisor SON Fair Price Analyzer SON Competitors
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