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Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.63
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.47
34.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: SONO is currently trading at $17.47, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.65 to $17.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (27.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 87.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SONO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.65 -
$17.93
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SONO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
Sonos Inc is engaged in providing home sound systems. The company's product profile includes speaker sets and other accessories like boost, mounts, stands, and cables and networking. Geographically, the company operates in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa and the Asia Pacific. Generating a majority of its revenue from the Americas.
