AAPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAPL - Apple Inc.
$297.01
-1.00 (-0.34%)
▼
5d:
+2.02%
30d:
-1.73%
90d:
+19.77%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AAPL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AAPL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$342.02
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$212.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AAPL is currently trading at $297.01, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $295.29 to $309.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 30.7) is in line with its historical norms (29.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAPL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $287.38, while resistance sits at $317.40.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAPL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $287.38, while resistance sits at $317.40.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$295.29 -
$309.51
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($314.42)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$295.29 -
$309.51
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$287.38
Resistance Level
$317.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.70
Wall Street Target
$314.42
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.8%
Profit Margin
27.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
30.7 vs 29.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$300.28
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$303.58
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$306.92
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$296.91
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.7, Growth: 10.4%)
$400.11
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.4%)
$283.85
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 10.4%)
$241.27
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.25
Bull Case
$384.40
(+29%)
Analyst growth 17.3%, PE expands to 39.7
Base Case
$349.46
(+18%)
Market implied 17.3%, PE stable at 36.1
Bear Case
$202.65
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AAPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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